Buxton vs Hednesford Town — National League - North
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Buxton and Hednesford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Buxton have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Hednesford Town have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Buxton and 1.19 for Hednesford Town. The models give Buxton a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Hednesford Town win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Buxton—
Hednesford Town8º
Position
6º
1.54
PPG
1.62
46%
Win %
46%
1.77
Goals / game
1.77
1.77
Conceded / game
1.46
58%
BTTS %
63%
21%
Clean sheet %
19%
68%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Buxton
Home (6)
—
Hednesford Town
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
2.50
Goals / game
1.17
1.17
Conceded / game
1.33
55%
BTTS %
67%
36%
Clean sheet %
17%
64%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Buxton | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 91% | 63% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 55% | 38% | 50% | 70% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 9% | 38% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Buxton | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 64% | 100% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 36% | 63% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 9% | 25% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 36% | 0% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Buxton | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 25% |
| BTTS | 58% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Buxton | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Buxton (H)D
Worksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2L
South Shields0–2
South Shields0–2W
Ashton United1–0
Ashton United1–0W
Chester3–1
Chester3–1W
Brackley Town5–0
Brackley Town5–0W
Merthyr Town2–1
Merthyr Town2–1Hednesford Town (A)W
Hereford1–0
Hereford1–0L
Hebburn Town1–2
Hebburn Town1–2W
King's Lynn Town3–2
King's Lynn Town3–2D
Spennymoor Town1–1
Spennymoor Town1–1D
AFC Telford United1–1
AFC Telford United1–1LMerthyr Town0–2
Merthyr Town0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Buxton
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Hednesford Town
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
10/10/12Hednesford Town
Buxton
2–1Hednesford Town06/10/12Buxton
Hednesford Town
2–2Buxton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 |  Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Buxton- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Buxton have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Buxton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Hednesford Town- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Hednesford Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BuxtonWAChorley3–2
Chorley3–2DHWorksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2LAKing's Lynn Town0–1
King's Lynn Town0–1LASouth Shields0–4
South Shields0–4WHChester3–1
Chester3–1WHBrackley Town5–0
Brackley Town5–0–HHarborough Town27/10
Harborough Town27/10–HMarine31/10
Marine31/10–AScarborough Athletic07/11
Scarborough Athletic07/11Hednesford TownWHSpalding United2–0
Spalding United2–0WHBrackley Town3–2
Brackley Town3–2WAHereford1–0
Hereford1–0WHRadcliffe4–1
Radcliffe4–1LAHebburn Town1–2
Hebburn Town1–2WAKing's Lynn Town3–2
King's Lynn Town3–2–ABedford Town27/10
Bedford Town27/10–AChester31/10
Chester31/10–HMorecambe07/11
Morecambe07/11Top Scorers
BuxtonS. Tuntulwana10 ⚽
K. Burton4 ⚽
D. Moses2 ⚽
J. Johnston2 ⚽
M. Woltman1 ⚽
T. Weston1 ⚽
Hednesford TownJ. Cooke5 ⚽
A. Rose4 ⚽
A. Jarvis2 ⚽
D. Mottley-Henry2 ⚽
G. Ward2 ⚽
O. Sterling-James2 ⚽
Cards Given
BuxtonHednesford TownD. Gorman1 🟨
S. Sharples-Ahmed1 🟨