Spalding United vs Merthyr Town — National League - North
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Spalding United and Merthyr Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Spalding United have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Merthyr Town have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Spalding United and 0.95 for Merthyr Town. The models give Spalding United a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Merthyr Town win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Spalding United—
Merthyr Town12º
Position
18º
1.42
PPG
1.15
42%
Win %
23%
1.17
Goals / game
1.15
0.92
Conceded / game
1.23
44%
BTTS %
67%
28%
Clean sheet %
24%
44%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
14.0
Avg shots
0.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Spalding United
Home (5)
—
Merthyr Town
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.00
60%
Win %
17%
1.40
Goals / game
0.83
0.60
Conceded / game
1.00
44%
BTTS %
50%
44%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
25%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
14.0
Avg shots
0.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Spalding United | Home | Away | Merthyr Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 78% | 56% | 86% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 78% | 22% | 33% | 54% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 22% | 11% | 14% | 23% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 22% | 44% | 14% | 0% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Spalding United | Home | Away | Merthyr Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 56% | 89% | 76% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 22% | 33% | 43% | 46% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 44% | 11% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Spalding United | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 5% |
| BTTS | 44% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Spalding United | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Spalding United (H)D
Alvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2W
Bury Town4–0
Bury Town4–0W
Hanley Town2–0
Hanley Town2–0W
Bedford Town2–1
Bedford Town2–1W
Southport2–0
Southport2–0W
Worksop Town3–1
Worksop Town3–1Merthyr Town (A)D
Darlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1L
Truro City0–2
Truro City0–2D
Scarborough Athletic0–0
Scarborough Athletic0–0W
Chester1–0
Chester1–0L
Buxton1–2
Buxton1–2D
South Shields1–1
South Shields1–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Spalding United | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  King's Lynn Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hednesford Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 |  Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Spalding United- ●Spalding United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Spalding United have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Spalding United's goals conceded were conceded away.
Merthyr Town- ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Spalding UnitedLAHednesford Town0–2
Hednesford Town0–2LAMarine0–1
Marine0–1LAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2WHBedford Town2–1
Bedford Town2–1WASpennymoor Town3–1
Spennymoor Town3–1WHSouthport2–0
Southport2–0–HBrackley Town27/10
Brackley Town27/10–HDarlington 188331/10
Darlington 188331/10–AAFC Telford United07/11
AFC Telford United07/11Merthyr TownLHMorecambe1–3
Morecambe1–3DHKing's Lynn Town1–1
King's Lynn Town1–1DADarlington 18831–1
Darlington 18831–1LHMarine1–2
Marine1–2DAScarborough Athletic0–0
Scarborough Athletic0–0WAChester1–0
Chester1–0–AOxford City27/10
Oxford City27/10–ARadcliffe31/10
Radcliffe31/10–HHebburn Town07/11
Hebburn Town07/11Top Scorers
Spalding UnitedB. Cybulski12 ⚽
Dan Jarvis2 ⚽
A. M. Sano Sani2 ⚽
1 ⚽
D. Jarvis1 ⚽
D. Barton1 ⚽
Merthyr TownS. Pearson4 ⚽
K. Simpson3 ⚽
E. Watts2 ⚽
J. Maddox2 ⚽
J. Foulston2 ⚽
B. Margetson2 ⚽
Cards Given
Spalding UnitedA. Bendle1 🟨
Bartosz Marcin Cybulski1 🟨
Michael Kelly1 🟨
1 🟨
Merthyr TownA. Livermore2 🟨
J. Williams1 🟨
W. Spiers1 🟨