Chorley vs Harborough Town — National League - North
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Chorley and Harborough Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Chorley have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Harborough Town have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Chorley and 1.21 for Harborough Town. The models give Chorley a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Harborough Town win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Chorley—
Harborough Town13º
Position
18º
1.33
PPG
1.21
40%
Win %
29%
1.60
Goals / game
0.93
1.67
Conceded / game
1.21
58%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
7.5
0.0
Avg shots
14.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
7.0
0.0%
Avg possession
55.0%
Home vs Away
Chorley
Home (8)
—
Harborough Town
Away (7)
1.63
PPG
0.43
50%
Win %
0%
2.13
Goals / game
0.57
1.75
Conceded / game
1.43
83%
BTTS %
70%
8%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
7.5
0.0
Avg shots
14.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
55.0%
Goals Scored
| Chorley | Home | Away | Harborough Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 58% | 75% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 8% | 17% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 42% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Chorley | Home | Away | Harborough Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 92% | 75% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 58% | 42% | 40% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 8% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 8% | 25% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chorley | Harborough Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS | 58% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chorley | Harborough Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Chorley (H)L
Hereford1–2
Hereford1–2L
Buxton2–3
Buxton2–3D
Worcester City1–1
Worcester City1–1W
AFC Telford United2–1
AFC Telford United2–1W
Spalding United2–1
Spalding United2–1W
Darlington 18835–2
Darlington 18835–2Harborough Town (A)L
Leyton Orient1–5
Leyton Orient1–5D
Hebburn Town1–1
Hebburn Town1–1LBuxton0–3
Buxton0–3L
Macclesfield0–1
Macclesfield0–1L
Brackley Town0–1
Brackley Town0–1L
Hednesford Town1–2
Hednesford Town1–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chorley | Harborough Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 | Hereford | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 | Hednesford Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 | Buxton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | AFC Telford United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 | Chorley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 | Hebburn Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Brackley Town | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
Team Insights
Chorley- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Chorley's goals have been scored at home.
Harborough Town- ●Harborough Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Harborough Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Harborough Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Harborough Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Harborough Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Harborough Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Harborough Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
ChorleyLHHereford1–2
Hereford1–2LASpennymoor Town0–2
Spennymoor Town0–2WARadcliffe3–0
Radcliffe3–0LHBuxton2–3
Buxton2–3WHAFC Telford United2–1
AFC Telford United2–1WHSpalding United2–1
Spalding United2–1–ABedford Town17/11
Bedford Town17/11–AWorksop Town21/11
Worksop Town21/11–HHebburn Town24/11
Hebburn Town24/11Harborough TownDAHebburn Town1–1
Hebburn Town1–1LABuxton0–3
Buxton0–3DHWorksop Town1–1
Worksop Town1–1WHSouthport1–0
Southport1–0LAMacclesfield0–1
Macclesfield0–1DHAFC Telford United0–0
AFC Telford United0–0–ASouth Shields17/11
South Shields17/11–ASpennymoor Town21/11
Spennymoor Town21/11–HChester24/11
Chester24/11Top Scorers
ChorleyE. Taylor7 ⚽
M. Calveley5 ⚽
J. Hazelhurst3 ⚽
A. Blakeman2 ⚽
C. M. Rowe2 ⚽
H. Smith2 ⚽
Harborough Town6 ⚽
B. Assombalonga5 ⚽
D. Arlott-John2 ⚽
M. Jacobs2 ⚽
P. Malone1 ⚽
Paul Malone1 ⚽
Cards Given
ChorleyHarborough TownJ. Walsh1 🟨
Mitchell Austin1 🟨
Paul Malone1 🟨
R. McAuley1 🟨
S Bello1 🟨