Morecambe vs Spalding United — National League - North
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Morecambe and Spalding United meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Morecambe have recorded 10 wins from 21 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Spalding United have won 38% of their 21 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Morecambe and 0.93 for Spalding United. The models give Morecambe a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Spalding United win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Morecambe—
Spalding United9º
Position
12º
1.53
PPG
1.40
47%
Win %
40%
1.53
Goals / game
1.33
1.20
Conceded / game
1.13
48%
BTTS %
52%
38%
Clean sheet %
24%
52%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.0
Avg corners
4.0
15.0
Avg shots
14.0
10.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
63.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
Morecambe
Home (7)
—
Spalding United
Away (8)
2.29
PPG
0.88
71%
Win %
25%
1.86
Goals / game
1.00
0.43
Conceded / game
1.25
27%
BTTS %
50%
55%
Clean sheet %
10%
36%
Over 2.5 %
40%
5.0
Avg corners
4.0
15.0
Avg shots
14.0
10.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
63.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| Morecambe | Home | Away | Spalding United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 82% | 90% | 71% | 82% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 55% | 30% | 52% | 82% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 27% | 20% | 19% | 27% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 18% | 10% | 29% | 18% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Morecambe | Home | Away | Spalding United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 45% | 80% | 76% | 64% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 0% | 50% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 55% | 20% | 24% | 36% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Morecambe | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 5% |
| BTTS | 48% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Morecambe | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 48% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Morecambe (H)W
Scarborough Athletic2–0
Scarborough Athletic2–0W
Darlington 18831–0
Darlington 18831–0WDarlington 18833–0
Darlington 18833–0W
Southport2–0
Southport2–0W
Brackley Town3–0
Brackley Town3–0W
Buxton4–0
Buxton4–0Spalding United (A)L
AFC Telford United1–2
AFC Telford United1–2L
Hednesford Town0–2
Hednesford Town0–2L
Alvechurch0–4
Alvechurch0–4L
Marine0–1
Marine0–1D
Bury Town1–1
Bury Town1–1L
Chorley1–2
Chorley1–2Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
8.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Morecambe | Spalding United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Morecambe | Spalding United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 | Hednesford Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 | Buxton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 | Morecambe | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | AFC Telford United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 | Chorley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Brackley Town | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
Team Insights
Morecambe- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Morecambe have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Morecambe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Morecambe failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●83% of Morecambe's goals conceded were conceded away.
Spalding United- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Spalding United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Spalding United have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Spalding United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
MorecambeLAHednesford Town2–6
Hednesford Town2–6WHScarborough Athletic2–0
Scarborough Athletic2–0WHDarlington 18831–0
Darlington 18831–0WAMerthyr Town3–1
Merthyr Town3–1LAWorksop Town1–2
Worksop Town1–2DAOxford City1–1
Oxford City1–1–HHereford10/11
Hereford10/11–HKing's Lynn Town21/11
King's Lynn Town21/11–AMacclesfield24/11
Macclesfield24/11Spalding UnitedLAAFC Telford United1–2
AFC Telford United1–2WHDarlington 18833–2
Darlington 18833–2DHBrackley Town2–2
Brackley Town2–2LAHednesford Town0–2
Hednesford Town0–2LAMarine0–1
Marine0–1LAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2–HHebburn Town17/11
Hebburn Town17/11–HMerthyr Town21/11
Merthyr Town21/11–AScarborough Athletic24/11
Scarborough Athletic24/11Top Scorers
MorecambeP. Lewis5 ⚽
M. Daly5 ⚽
I. Buckley4 ⚽
E. Newby4 ⚽
J. Garner4 ⚽
T. Collis3 ⚽
Spalding UnitedB. Cybulski13 ⚽
D. Barton3 ⚽
Dan Jarvis2 ⚽
D. Jarvis2 ⚽
A. M. Sano Sani2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Morecambe1 🟨
Spalding United2 🟨
A. Bendle1 🟨
Bartosz Marcin Cybulski1 🟨
Michael Kelly1 🟨