Spalding United vs Buxton — National League - North
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Spalding United and Buxton meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Spalding United have recorded 8 wins from 21 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Buxton have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Spalding United and 1.19 for Buxton. The models give Spalding United a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Buxton win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Spalding United—
Buxton12º
Position
7º
1.40
PPG
1.69
40%
Win %
50%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.13
Conceded / game
1.69
52%
BTTS %
59%
24%
Clean sheet %
23%
52%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
14.0
Avg shots
0.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Spalding United
Home (7)
—
Buxton
Away (8)
2.00
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
25%
1.71
Goals / game
1.25
1.00
Conceded / game
2.25
55%
BTTS %
67%
36%
Clean sheet %
0%
64%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
14.0
Avg shots
0.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Spalding United | Home | Away | Buxton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 82% | 60% | 82% | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 82% | 20% | 55% | 62% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 27% | 10% | 27% | 31% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 18% | 40% | 18% | 8% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Spalding United | Home | Away | Buxton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 64% | 90% | 77% | 62% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 36% | 40% | 50% | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 36% | 10% | 23% | 38% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Spalding United | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 18% |
| BTTS | 52% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Spalding United | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Spalding United (H)W
Darlington 18833–2
Darlington 18833–2D
Brackley Town2–2
Brackley Town2–2D
Alvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2W
Bury Town4–0
Bury Town4–0W
Hanley Town2–0
Hanley Town2–0W
Bedford Town2–1
Bedford Town2–1Buxton (A)D
Scarborough Athletic2–2
Scarborough Athletic2–2W
Chorley3–2
Chorley3–2L
King's Lynn Town0–1
King's Lynn Town0–1L
South Shields0–4
South Shields0–4L
Morecambe0–4
Morecambe0–4W
Oxford City3–2
Oxford City3–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Spalding United | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 | King's Lynn Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 | Buxton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 | Morecambe | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 | Chorley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Brackley Town | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
Team Insights
Spalding United- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Spalding United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Spalding United have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Spalding United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
Buxton- ●Buxton have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Buxton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Buxton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●69% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Buxton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Spalding UnitedLAAFC Telford United1–2
AFC Telford United1–2WHDarlington 18833–2
Darlington 18833–2DHBrackley Town2–2
Brackley Town2–2LAHednesford Town0–2
Hednesford Town0–2LAMarine0–1
Marine0–1LAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2–HHebburn Town17/11
Hebburn Town17/11–HMerthyr Town21/11
Merthyr Town21/11–AScarborough Athletic24/11
Scarborough Athletic24/11BuxtonDAScarborough Athletic2–2
Scarborough Athletic2–2WHMarine4–2
Marine4–2WHHarborough Town3–0
Harborough Town3–0WAChorley3–2
Chorley3–2DHWorksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2LAKing's Lynn Town0–1
King's Lynn Town0–1–HHednesford Town21/11
Hednesford Town21/11–AAFC Telford United24/11
AFC Telford United24/11–HSpennymoor Town28/11
Spennymoor Town28/11Top Scorers
Spalding UnitedB. Cybulski13 ⚽
D. Barton3 ⚽
Dan Jarvis2 ⚽
D. Jarvis2 ⚽
A. M. Sano Sani2 ⚽
1 ⚽
BuxtonS. Tuntulwana11 ⚽
J. Johnston4 ⚽
K. Burton4 ⚽
D. Moses3 ⚽
F. Cousin-Dawson2 ⚽
A. Mee2 ⚽
Cards Given
Spalding United2 🟨
A. Bendle1 🟨
Bartosz Marcin Cybulski1 🟨
Michael Kelly1 🟨
Buxton