Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United — National League - South
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Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 9 November 2026. Chelmsford City have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Ebbsfleet United have won 48% of their 21 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Chelmsford City and 1.32 for Ebbsfleet United. The models give Chelmsford City a 34% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ebbsfleet United win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Chelmsford City—
Ebbsfleet United15º
Position
2º
1.36
PPG
2.27
18%
Win %
64%
1.55
Goals / game
2.36
1.00
Conceded / game
0.55
50%
BTTS %
62%
44%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chelmsford City
Home (5)
—
Ebbsfleet United
Away (4)
1.40
PPG
2.50
20%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
1.75
0.80
Conceded / game
0.50
40%
BTTS %
60%
60%
Clean sheet %
30%
20%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 60% | 91% | 86% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 20% | 36% | 48% | 36% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 27% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 40% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 64% | 67% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 9% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 60% | 36% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelmsford City | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS | 50% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelmsford City | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelmsford City (H)D
Tonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3D
Horsham0–0
Horsham0–0D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Maidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0D
Truro City0–0
Truro City0–0L
Eastbourne Borough1–3
Eastbourne Borough1–3Ebbsfleet United (A)W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0D
Slough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1WTonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1WMaidenhead3–1
Maidenhead3–1W
Walton & Hersham2–0
Walton & Hersham2–0W
Cray Valley PM3–2
Cray Valley PM3–2Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Chelmsford City
13%
2
Draws
25%
5
Ebbsfleet United
63%
38%
Over 1.5
3/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
0%
Over 3.5
0/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
20/12/25Ebbsfleet United
Chelmsford City
0–1Ebbsfleet United19/08/25Chelmsford City
Ebbsfleet United
1–0Chelmsford City25/02/23Ebbsfleet United
Chelmsford City
0–1Ebbsfleet United17/01/23Chelmsford City
Ebbsfleet United
2–0Chelmsford City07/05/22Chelmsford City
Ebbsfleet United
2–1Chelmsford City30/08/21Ebbsfleet United
Chelmsford City
0–0Ebbsfleet United29/09/15Chelmsford City
Ebbsfleet United
1–2Chelmsford City26/09/15Ebbsfleet United
Chelmsford City
0–0Ebbsfleet United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 |  Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●73% of Ebbsfleet United's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Chelmsford CityDHTonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3WAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10–HFarnham Town02/11
Farnham Town02/11Ebbsfleet UnitedWHMaidenhead4–0
Maidenhead4–0DHHorsham2–2
Horsham2–2WHWeston-super-Mare6–1
Weston-super-Mare6–1WHAFC Totton5–0
AFC Totton5–0WAHampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0WHFolkestone Invicta1–0
Folkestone Invicta1–0–AMaidstone Utd27/10
Maidstone Utd27/10–ATruro City31/10
Truro City31/10–AFarnborough03/11
Farnborough03/11Top Scorers
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
H. Barbrook3 ⚽
L. Sery3 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
Ebbsfleet UnitedK. Appiah5 ⚽
D. Ogunleye5 ⚽
B. Chapman5 ⚽
F. Barnes4 ⚽
G. Kennedy3 ⚽
C. Seaman2 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelmsford CityLyle Taylor1 🟨
1 🟨
Ebbsfleet United