Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United — National League - South
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Farnborough and Ebbsfleet United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Farnborough have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Ebbsfleet United have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.84 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Farnborough and 1.52 for Ebbsfleet United. The models give Farnborough a 26% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ebbsfleet United win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Farnborough—
Ebbsfleet United17º
Position
2º
1.27
PPG
2.33
36%
Win %
67%
0.91
Goals / game
2.22
1.55
Conceded / game
0.44
42%
BTTS %
63%
26%
Clean sheet %
32%
47%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Farnborough
Home (5)
—
Ebbsfleet United
Away (4)
1.20
PPG
2.50
40%
Win %
75%
0.60
Goals / game
1.75
1.40
Conceded / game
0.50
22%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
30%
33%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 56% | 80% | 84% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 22% | 50% | 42% | 22% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 44% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 67% | 80% | 68% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 44% | 50% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 33% | 20% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Farnborough | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS | 42% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Farnborough | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Farnborough (H)W
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0L
Uxbridge0–2
Uxbridge0–2L
Dover0–1
Dover0–1L
Tonbridge Angels0–4
Tonbridge Angels0–4W
Chesham United1–0
Chesham United1–0L
Hemel Hempstead Town0–2
Hemel Hempstead Town0–2Ebbsfleet United (A)W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0D
Slough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1WTonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1W
Maidenhead3–1
Maidenhead3–1W
Walton & Hersham2–0
Walton & Hersham2–0W
Cray Valley PM3–2
Cray Valley PM3–2Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Farnborough
0%
3
Draws
75%
1
Ebbsfleet United
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
28/02/26Farnborough
Ebbsfleet United
2–2Farnborough29/11/25Ebbsfleet United
Farnborough
1–1Ebbsfleet United28/02/23Ebbsfleet United
Farnborough
2–2Ebbsfleet United20/08/22Farnborough
Ebbsfleet United
4–2Farnborough| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +16 | 21 |
| 3 |  Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Folkestone Invicta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 15 |  Horsham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
Farnborough- ●Farnborough have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Farnborough's goals have been scored away.
- ●Farnborough have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●65% of Ebbsfleet United's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FarnboroughWHDagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0LABillericay Town0–4
Billericay Town0–4DAWalton & Hersham2–2
Walton & Hersham2–2LHDover0–1
Dover0–1LAHampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2LHTonbridge Angels0–4
Tonbridge Angels0–4–AFolkestone Invicta24/10
Folkestone Invicta24/10–HWeston-super-Mare28/10
Weston-super-Mare28/10–HHorsham31/10
Horsham31/10Ebbsfleet UnitedWHWeston-super-Mare6–1
Weston-super-Mare6–1WHAFC Totton5–0
AFC Totton5–0WAHampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0WHFolkestone Invicta1–0
Folkestone Invicta1–0DASlough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1WATonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1–HHorsham20/10
Horsham20/10–HMaidenhead24/10
Maidenhead24/10–AMaidstone Utd27/10
Maidstone Utd27/10Top Scorers
FarnboroughS. Barratt3 ⚽
T. Frost3 ⚽
M. Bloomfield3 ⚽
O. Dewsbury2 ⚽
R. Smith1 ⚽
A. Whittle1 ⚽
Ebbsfleet UnitedK. Appiah5 ⚽
D. Ogunleye5 ⚽
F. Barnes4 ⚽
G. Kennedy3 ⚽
B. Chapman2 ⚽
O. Box2 ⚽
Cards Given
FarnboroughS. Okoye1 🟨
Ebbsfleet United