Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham — National League - South
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Ebbsfleet United and Horsham meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Ebbsfleet United have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Horsham have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Ebbsfleet United and 1.22 for Horsham. The models give Ebbsfleet United a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Horsham win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Ebbsfleet UnitedHorshamHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 71% | 77% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 57% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 0% | 43% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 71% | 69% | 57% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ebbsfleet United | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS | 67% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ebbsfleet United | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Ebbsfleet United (H)
Salisbury1–1
Hemel Hempstead Town0–0
Gillingham1–2
Cardiff MET1–1
West Ham United U211–2
Hampton & Richmond4–0Horsham (A)
Walton & Hersham3–0
Folkestone Invicta1–1
Braintree2–1
Torquay1–1
Worthing0–3
Sutton Utd0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Ebbsfleet UnitedHorsham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Billericay Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Tonbridge Angels | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Truro City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |  Dover | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Chesham United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Chelmsford City | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 |  Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 23 |  Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Horsham- ●Horsham have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Horsham's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Horsham have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ebbsfleet UnitedSalisbury1–1Hemel Hempstead Town0–0Walton & Hersham2–0Tonbridge Angels26/09Slough Town29/09Folkestone Invicta06/10HorshamChesham United1–4Folkestone Invicta1–1Dagenham & Redbridge1–1Farnham Town1–2Braintree2–1Hampton & Richmond2–0Chelmsford City26/09Maidstone Utd10/10Slough Town17/10Top Scorers
Ebbsfleet UnitedHorshamCards Given
Ebbsfleet UnitedHorsham