Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town — National League - South
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Chelmsford City and Farnham Town meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Chelmsford City have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Farnham Town have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Chelmsford City and 1.14 for Farnham Town. The models give Chelmsford City a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Farnham Town win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Chelmsford City—
Farnham Town15º
Position
11º
1.40
PPG
1.55
20%
Win %
45%
1.40
Goals / game
1.55
0.80
Conceded / game
1.45
47%
BTTS %
72%
47%
Clean sheet %
17%
20%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chelmsford City
Home (4)
—
Farnham Town
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
60%
0.50
Goals / game
1.40
0.25
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
75%
75%
Clean sheet %
13%
0%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Farnham Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 50% | 91% | 89% | 90% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 0% | 36% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 27% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 50% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Farnham Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 25% | 64% | 83% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 9% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 75% | 36% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelmsford City | Farnham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 47% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelmsford City | Farnham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelmsford City (H)D
Horsham0–0
Horsham0–0D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Maidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0D
Truro City0–0
Truro City0–0L
Eastbourne Borough1–3
Eastbourne Borough1–3DMaidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1Farnham Town (A)D
Cirencester Town2–2
Cirencester Town2–2W
Folkestone Invicta2–1
Folkestone Invicta2–1D
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1WHorsham2–1
Horsham2–1W
Slough Town1–0
Slough Town1–0L
Dagenham & Redbridge1–2
Dagenham & Redbridge1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ebbsfleet United | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +16 | 22 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |  Tonbridge Angels | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 | Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 | Horsham | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 |  Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●86% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Chelmsford City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 86% of their goals in the first half.
Farnham Town- ●Farnham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Farnham Town have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Farnham Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Farnham Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Farnham Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Farnham Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Farnham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Farnham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Farnham Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Farnham Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Farnham Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Farnham Town have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Farnham Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Chelmsford CityWAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1DAWeston-super-Mare1–1
Weston-super-Mare1–1–HTonbridge Angels24/10
Tonbridge Angels24/10–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10Farnham TownLHSalisbury1–2
Salisbury1–2DHTruro City2–2
Truro City2–2WHWeston-super-Mare3–2
Weston-super-Mare3–2WAFolkestone Invicta2–1
Folkestone Invicta2–1DAHemel Hempstead Town1–1
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1WHTorquay2–0
Torquay2–0–HBraintree24/10
Braintree24/10–AChesham United27/10
Chesham United27/10–ADover31/10
Dover31/10Top Scorers
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
H. Barbrook2 ⚽
L. Sery2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
Farnham TownR. Bingham6 ⚽
D. Sanders5 ⚽
O. Dean5 ⚽
S. Evans3 ⚽
T. Cook2 ⚽
D. Bayliss1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelmsford CityLyle Taylor1 🟨
1 🟨
Farnham Town