Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels — National League - South
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Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Chelmsford City have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Tonbridge Angels have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Chelmsford City and 1.43 for Tonbridge Angels. The models give Chelmsford City a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tonbridge Angels win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Chelmsford City—
Tonbridge Angels14º
Position
4º
1.25
PPG
1.56
13%
Win %
44%
1.13
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
70%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
29%
20%
Over 2.5 %
57%
Home vs Away
Chelmsford City
Home (3)
—
Tonbridge Angels
Away (5)
1.67
PPG
2.20
33%
Win %
60%
0.67
Goals / game
2.40
0.33
Conceded / game
0.60
33%
BTTS %
40%
67%
Clean sheet %
60%
0%
Over 2.5 %
60%
Goals Scored
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Tonbridge Angels | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 67% | 100% | 79% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 29% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 33% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Tonbridge Angels | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 33% | 86% | 71% | 89% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 14% | 43% | 56% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 67% | 14% | 29% | 11% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelmsford City | Tonbridge Angels | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 60% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelmsford City | Tonbridge Angels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelmsford City (H)D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Maidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0D
Truro City0–0
Truro City0–0L
Eastbourne Borough1–3
Eastbourne Borough1–3DMaidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1W
Enfield Town3–0
Enfield Town3–0Tonbridge Angels (A)D
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1W
Farnborough4–0
Farnborough4–0D
Billericay Town2–2
Billericay Town2–2W
Dover1–0
Dover1–0W
Braintree4–0
Braintree4–0WFarnborough6–1
Farnborough6–1Head to Head · 14 matches
7
Chelmsford City
50%
4
Draws
29%
3
Tonbridge Angels
21%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
43%
Over 2.5
6/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
26/01/26Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
1–0Tonbridge Angels04/11/25Chelmsford City
Tonbridge Angels
2–4Chelmsford City22/03/25Chelmsford City
Tonbridge Angels
2–1Chelmsford City19/08/24Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
1–1Tonbridge Angels13/04/24Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
3–0Tonbridge Angels04/11/23Chelmsford City
Tonbridge Angels
1–1Chelmsford City20/02/23Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
1–0Tonbridge Angels25/10/22Chelmsford City
Tonbridge Angels
1–0Chelmsford City09/04/22Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
1–1Tonbridge Angels20/11/21Chelmsford City
Tonbridge Angels
1–1Chelmsford City09/11/20Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
0–2Tonbridge Angels17/02/20Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
3–1Tonbridge Angels19/10/19Chelmsford City
Tonbridge Angels
1–2Chelmsford City01/10/11Tonbridge Angels
Chelmsford City
3–0Tonbridge Angels| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tonbridge Angels | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 14 |
| 5 | Truro City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 | Dover | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |  Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | Salisbury | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Folkestone Invicta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 12 | Billericay Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Chesham United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford City | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Horsham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 21 |  Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 22 |  Ebbsfleet United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 23 |  Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
| 24 |  Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Chelmsford City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Tonbridge Angels- ●Tonbridge Angels have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Tonbridge Angels's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Tonbridge Angels's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●79% of Tonbridge Angels's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Chelmsford CityDAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1DAWeston-super-Mare1–1
Weston-super-Mare1–1WHMaidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0DAFolkestone Invicta1–1
Folkestone Invicta1–1–HHorsham26/09
Horsham26/09–AChesham United10/10
Chesham United10/10–HFarnham Town17/10
Farnham Town17/10Tonbridge AngelsDAHemel Hempstead Town1–1
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1LHMaidstone Utd0–1
Maidstone Utd0–1WAFarnborough4–0
Farnborough4–0WHWalton & Hersham5–1
Walton & Hersham5–1DABillericay Town2–2
Billericay Town2–2LHTruro City0–2
Truro City0–2–HEbbsfleet United26/09
Ebbsfleet United26/09–AMaidenhead10/10
Maidenhead10/10–HChesham United17/10
Chesham United17/10Top Scorers
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
L. Sery2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
H. Barbrook1 ⚽
A. May1 ⚽
Tonbridge AngelsJ. Tanga7 ⚽
E. Sutcliffe3 ⚽
F. Baker3 ⚽
L. Reynolds2 ⚽
R. Korboa2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelmsford CityTonbridge AngelsJ. Tanga2 🟨