Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town — National League - South
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Dorking Wanderers and Hemel Hempstead Town meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Dorking Wanderers have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Hemel Hempstead Town have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Dorking Wanderers and 1.35 for Hemel Hempstead Town. The models give Dorking Wanderers a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hemel Hempstead Town win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Dorking Wanderers—
Hemel Hempstead Town9º
Position
16º
1.44
PPG
1.11
33%
Win %
22%
2.00
Goals / game
0.89
1.44
Conceded / game
1.11
57%
BTTS %
62%
29%
Clean sheet %
15%
64%
Over 2.5 %
23%
Home vs Away
Dorking Wanderers
Home (4)
—
Hemel Hempstead Town
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.75
25%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.75
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
33%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
17%
Goals Scored
| Dorking Wanderers | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 75% | 80% | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 50% | 70% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 25% | 20% | 31% | 14% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Dorking Wanderers | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 70% | 85% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 40% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 50% | 20% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 30% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dorking Wanderers | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dorking Wanderers | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Dorking Wanderers (H)D
Chelmsford City3–3
Chelmsford City3–3W
Truro City1–0
Truro City1–0L
Maidstone Utd2–3
Maidstone Utd2–3L
Dagenham & Redbridge0–1
Dagenham & Redbridge0–1W
Maidenhead2–0
Maidenhead2–0L
Bath City1–3
Bath City1–3Hemel Hempstead (A)D
Ebbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0L
Folkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2W
Salisbury2–1
Salisbury2–1W
Farnborough2–0
Farnborough2–0D
St Albans City1–1
St Albans City1–1L
Wealdstone0–1
Wealdstone0–1Head to Head · 10 matches
7
Dorking Wanderers
70%
1
Draws
10%
2
Hemel Hempstead
20%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
80%
Over 2.5
8/10
50%
Over 3.5
5/10
80%
BTTS
8/10
28/03/26Hemel Hempstead Town
Dorking Wanderers
2–1Hemel Hempstead Town23/08/25Dorking Wanderers
Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0Dorking Wanderers25/11/24Dorking Wanderers
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–7Dorking Wanderers12/10/24Hemel Hempstead Town
Dorking Wanderers
3–2Hemel Hempstead Town12/03/22Hemel Hempstead Town
Dorking Wanderers
2–1Hemel Hempstead Town06/11/21Dorking Wanderers
Hemel Hempstead Town
2–2Dorking Wanderers06/02/21Dorking Wanderers
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–3Dorking Wanderers09/01/21Hemel Hempstead Town
Dorking Wanderers
2–1Hemel Hempstead Town07/03/20Dorking Wanderers
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0Dorking Wanderers06/08/19Hemel Hempstead Town
Dorking Wanderers
3–1Hemel Hempstead Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Billericay Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Tonbridge Angels | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |  Dover | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Chesham United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford City | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Horsham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 |  Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 21 |  Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 23 |  Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
| 24 |  Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Dorking Wanderers- ●Dorking Wanderers have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Dorking Wanderers's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Dorking Wanderers's points have been earned away.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Dorking Wanderers have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Hemel Hempstead- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Hemel Hempstead Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●70% of Hemel Hempstead Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Dorking WanderersDATorquay2–2
Torquay2–2DHChelmsford City3–3
Chelmsford City3–3DABillericay Town3–3
Billericay Town3–3WHTruro City1–0
Truro City1–0WAWalton & Hersham4–1
Walton & Hersham4–1LHMaidstone Utd2–3
Maidstone Utd2–3–HBraintree26/09
Braintree26/09–ADover10/10
Dover10/10–HHampton & Richmond17/10
Hampton & Richmond17/10Hemel HempsteadDHTonbridge Angels1–1
Tonbridge Angels1–1DAEbbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0DHFarnham Town1–1
Farnham Town1–1LAFolkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2LHWeston-super-Mare1–3
Weston-super-Mare1–3WASalisbury2–1
Salisbury2–1–ASlough Town26/09
Slough Town26/09–ADagenham & Redbridge10/10
Dagenham & Redbridge10/10–HTorquay17/10
Torquay17/10Top Scorers
Dorking WanderersD. Rogalski5 ⚽
G. Nikaj5 ⚽
J. Barrett4 ⚽
J. Wood3 ⚽
A. Rutherford1 ⚽
T. Alcock1 ⚽
Hemel HempsteadR. Campbell4 ⚽
D. Longe-King1 ⚽
H. Panayiotou1 ⚽
J. Steele1 ⚽
M. Johnson1 ⚽
S. Parkes1 ⚽
Cards Given
Dorking WanderersHemel HempsteadM. Francis1 🟨