Maidenhead vs Horsham — National League - South
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Maidenhead and Horsham meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Maidenhead have recorded 3 wins from 16 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Horsham have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Maidenhead and 1.43 for Horsham. The models give Maidenhead a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Horsham win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maidenhead | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 57% | 77% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 11% | 29% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 29% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 43% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Maidenhead | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 89% | 71% | 69% | 57% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 56% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 44% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 11% | 29% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maidenhead | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS | 50% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maidenhead | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 31% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +1 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 | |
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 | |
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 | |
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 3 | |
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Maidenhead have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Maidenhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Maidenhead's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Maidenhead's points have been earned away.
- ●Maidenhead have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Maidenhead have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Horsham have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Horsham's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Horsham have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.