Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare — National League - South
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Farnborough and Weston-super-Mare meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Farnborough have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Weston-super-Mare have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Farnborough and 1.42 for Weston-super-Mare. The models give Farnborough a 28% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Weston-super-Mare win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Farnborough—
Weston-super-Mare20º
Position
2º
1.25
PPG
1.89
38%
Win %
56%
0.75
Goals / game
1.78
1.38
Conceded / game
0.78
47%
BTTS %
44%
27%
Clean sheet %
31%
47%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Farnborough
Home (4)
—
Weston-super-Mare
Away (3)
0.75
PPG
1.33
25%
Win %
33%
0.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.75
Conceded / game
0.67
29%
BTTS %
40%
29%
Clean sheet %
40%
43%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Weston-super-Mare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 57% | 88% | 69% | 73% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 14% | 50% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 14% | 13% | 31% | 27% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 43% | 13% | 31% | 27% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Weston-super-Mare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 71% | 75% | 69% | 73% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 43% | 38% | 25% | 36% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 14% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 29% | 25% | 31% | 27% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Farnborough | Weston-super-Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 6% |
| BTTS | 47% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Farnborough | Weston-super-Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Farnborough (H)L
Dover0–1
Dover0–1L
Tonbridge Angels0–4
Tonbridge Angels0–4W
Chesham United1–0
Chesham United1–0L
Hemel Hempstead Town0–2
Hemel Hempstead Town0–2W
Bath City3–0
Bath City3–0D
Portsmouth1–1
Portsmouth1–1Weston-super-Mare (A)L
Maidstone Utd0–1
Maidstone Utd0–1WHemel Hempstead Town3–1
Hemel Hempstead Town3–1D
Torquay0–0
Torquay0–0W
Taunton Town4–0
Taunton Town4–0D
Clevedon Town1–1
Clevedon Town1–1L
AFC Hornchurch0–2
AFC Hornchurch0–2Head to Head · 11 matches
5
Farnborough
45%
2
Draws
18%
4
Weston-super-Mare
36%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
82%
Over 2.5
9/11
55%
Over 3.5
6/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
03/01/26Farnborough
Weston-super-Mare
4–1Farnborough25/08/25Weston-super-Mare
Farnborough
1–3Weston-super-Mare01/03/25Weston-super-Mare
Farnborough
2–1Weston-super-Mare23/11/24Farnborough
Weston-super-Mare
4–3Farnborough26/03/24Farnborough
Weston-super-Mare
0–3Farnborough30/09/23Weston-super-Mare
Farnborough
0–1Weston-super-Mare26/08/23Weston-super-Mare
Farnborough
3–0Weston-super-Mare19/03/22Weston-super-Mare
Farnborough
1–1Weston-super-Mare25/01/22Farnborough
Weston-super-Mare
2–2Farnborough07/12/19Farnborough
Weston-super-Mare
1–3Farnborough13/12/14Farnborough
Weston-super-Mare
1–3Farnborough| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Billericay Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Truro City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Folkestone Invicta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Chelmsford City | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Horsham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 |  Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 21 |  Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 22 |  Ebbsfleet United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 23 |  Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
| 24 |  Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Farnborough- ●Farnborough have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Farnborough have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●70% of Farnborough's points have been earned away.
- ●Farnborough have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Weston-super-Mare- ●Weston-super-Mare have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●81% of Weston-super-Mare's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Weston-super-Mare's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
FarnboroughLHDover0–1
Dover0–1LAHampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2LHTonbridge Angels0–4
Tonbridge Angels0–4WABraintree2–0
Braintree2–0DAMaidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1WHChesham United1–0
Chesham United1–0–AWalton & Hersham26/09
Walton & Hersham26/09–ABillericay Town10/10
Billericay Town10/10–HDagenham & Redbridge17/10
Dagenham & Redbridge17/10Weston-super-MareWHDagenham & Redbridge1–0
Dagenham & Redbridge1–0WHAFC Totton3–1
AFC Totton3–1LAMaidstone Utd0–1
Maidstone Utd0–1DHChelmsford City1–1
Chelmsford City1–1WAHemel Hempstead Town3–1
Hemel Hempstead Town3–1LHDover2–3
Dover2–3–AFarnham Town26/09
Farnham Town26/09–HFolkestone Invicta10/10
Folkestone Invicta10/10–AEbbsfleet United17/10
Ebbsfleet United17/10Top Scorers
FarnboroughS. Barratt3 ⚽
M. Bloomfield3 ⚽
T. Frost2 ⚽
R. Smith1 ⚽
A. Whittle1 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
Weston-super-MareB. Ash5 ⚽
L. Britton4 ⚽
O. Hulbert3 ⚽
L. Derrick2 ⚽
J. Cane2 ⚽
L. Coulson2 ⚽
Cards Given
FarnboroughS. Okoye1 🟨
Weston-super-Mare