AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City — National League - South
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AFC Totton and Chelmsford City meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 31 October 2026. AFC Totton have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Chelmsford City have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for AFC Totton and 1.71 for Chelmsford City. The models give AFC Totton a 25% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chelmsford City win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
AFC Totton—
Chelmsford City21º
Position
13º
0.91
PPG
1.40
27%
Win %
20%
0.73
Goals / game
1.40
1.91
Conceded / game
0.80
31%
BTTS %
50%
15%
Clean sheet %
50%
46%
Over 2.5 %
21%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Totton
Home (6)
—
Chelmsford City
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.17
25%
BTTS %
60%
13%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Totton | Home | Away | Chelmsford City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 46% | 38% | 60% | 86% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 15% | 25% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 13% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 63% | 40% | 14% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Totton | Home | Away | Chelmsford City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 88% | 80% | 50% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 60% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 40% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 13% | 20% | 50% | 75% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Totton | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS | 31% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Totton | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 23% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 21% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Totton (H)L
Walton & Hersham0–1
Walton & Hersham0–1L
Gloucester City0–2
Gloucester City0–2L
Slough Town0–1
Slough Town0–1W
Hampton & Richmond4–1
Hampton & Richmond4–1L
Chesham United0–4
Chesham United0–4L
Dorking Wanderers0–3
Dorking Wanderers0–3Chelmsford City (A)WChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0W
Brackley Town2–0
Brackley Town2–0W
Canvey Island1–0
Canvey Island1–0DHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DDorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3D
Weston-super-Mare1–1
Weston-super-Mare1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
AFC Totton
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Chelmsford City
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
30/03/26AFC Totton
Chelmsford City
1–1AFC Totton25/10/25Chelmsford City
AFC Totton
2–1Chelmsford City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |  Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 | Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 |  Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 |  Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 |  Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Totton- ●AFC Totton have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of AFC Totton's goals have been scored at home.
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●86% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Chelmsford City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 86% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AFC TottonLAEbbsfleet United0–5
Ebbsfleet United0–5LHWalton & Hersham0–1
Walton & Hersham0–1LADover0–2
Dover0–2LHSlough Town0–1
Slough Town0–1LAWeston-super-Mare1–3
Weston-super-Mare1–3WHHampton & Richmond4–1
Hampton & Richmond4–1–AFolkestone Invicta17/10
Folkestone Invicta17/10–AHemel Hempstead Town24/10
Hemel Hempstead Town24/10–HTorquay27/10
Torquay27/10Chelmsford CityWAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1DAWeston-super-Mare1–1
Weston-super-Mare1–1–HTonbridge Angels24/10
Tonbridge Angels24/10–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10Top Scorers
AFC TottonE. Ikpeama2 ⚽
I. Olateju1 ⚽
C. Ward1 ⚽
L. Hallett1 ⚽
T. Cordner1 ⚽
T. Lee1 ⚽
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
H. Barbrook2 ⚽
L. Sery2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC TottonM. Chandler1 🟨
Chelmsford City1 🟨