Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United — National League - South
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Truro City and Ebbsfleet United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Truro City have recorded 12 wins from 19 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Ebbsfleet United have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Truro City and 1.25 for Ebbsfleet United. The models give Truro City a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ebbsfleet United win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Truro City—
Ebbsfleet United4º
Position
6º
1.91
PPG
2.25
55%
Win %
63%
1.55
Goals / game
1.75
0.73
Conceded / game
0.38
42%
BTTS %
61%
42%
Clean sheet %
33%
47%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Truro City
Home (5)
—
Ebbsfleet United
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.50
60%
Win %
75%
1.80
Goals / game
1.75
0.60
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
60%
50%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Truro City | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 83% | 71% | 83% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 57% | 39% | 13% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 42% | 0% | 22% | 13% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 29% | 17% | 13% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Truro City | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 71% | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Truro City | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 17% |
| BTTS | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Truro City | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Truro City (H)W
Birmingham City U213–0
Birmingham City U213–0W
Cirencester Town4–0
Cirencester Town4–0W
Merthyr Town2–0
Merthyr Town2–0L
Salisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1D
Walton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1W
Leicester City U214–1
Leicester City U214–1Ebbsfleet United (A)W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0D
Slough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1W
Tonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1W
Maidenhead3–1
Maidenhead3–1WWalton & Hersham2–0
Walton & Hersham2–0W
Cray Valley PM3–2
Cray Valley PM3–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Truro City
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Ebbsfleet United
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
10/12/11Ebbsfleet United
Truro City
2–5Ebbsfleet United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 |  Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 |  Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 |  Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |  Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Truro City- ●Truro City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Truro City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Truro CityWABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1LHSalisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1DHWalton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1WHChesham United3–1
Chesham United3–1–AHampton & Richmond24/10
Hampton & Richmond24/10–HSlough Town27/10
Slough Town27/10–HEbbsfleet United31/10
Ebbsfleet United31/10Ebbsfleet UnitedWHAFC Totton5–0
AFC Totton5–0WAHampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0WHFolkestone Invicta1–0
Folkestone Invicta1–0DASlough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1WATonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1–HWeston-super-Mare17/10
Weston-super-Mare17/10–HHorsham20/10
Horsham20/10–HMaidenhead24/10
Maidenhead24/10Top Scorers
Truro CityT. Harvey7 ⚽
W. Dean3 ⚽
B. Starkie3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
L. Jephcott2 ⚽
Ebbsfleet UnitedF. Barnes4 ⚽
D. Ogunleye4 ⚽
R. Nelson2 ⚽
B. Chapman2 ⚽
K. Appiah2 ⚽
G. Kennedy2 ⚽
Cards Given
Truro CityB. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
M. Kinsey1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨
Ebbsfleet United