Chelmsford City vs Farnborough — National League - South
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Chelmsford City and Farnborough meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Chelmsford City have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 21%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Farnborough have won 33% of their 18 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Chelmsford City and 1.10 for Farnborough. The models give Chelmsford City a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Farnborough win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Chelmsford City—
Farnborough13º
Position
18º
1.40
PPG
1.10
20%
Win %
30%
1.40
Goals / game
0.80
0.80
Conceded / game
1.70
50%
BTTS %
44%
50%
Clean sheet %
22%
21%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chelmsford City
Home (4)
—
Farnborough
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
1.33
25%
Win %
33%
0.50
Goals / game
1.17
0.25
Conceded / game
1.67
25%
BTTS %
60%
75%
Clean sheet %
20%
0%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Farnborough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 13% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 0% | 30% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Farnborough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 60% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 10% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelmsford City | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 21% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelmsford City | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelmsford City (H)D
Horsham0–0
Horsham0–0D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Maidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0D
Truro City0–0
Truro City0–0L
Eastbourne Borough1–3
Eastbourne Borough1–3DMaidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1Farnborough (A)L
Billericay Town0–4
Billericay Town0–4D
Walton & Hersham2–2
Walton & Hersham2–2D
Uxbridge2–2
Uxbridge2–2L
Hampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2W
Braintree2–0
Braintree2–0DMaidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Chelmsford City
50%
1
Draws
13%
3
Farnborough
38%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
25/03/26Chelmsford City
Farnborough
4–2Chelmsford City01/09/25Farnborough
Chelmsford City
2–5Farnborough08/02/25Chelmsford City
Farnborough
3–4Chelmsford City19/10/24Farnborough
Chelmsford City
1–2Farnborough27/02/24Chelmsford City
Farnborough
1–1Chelmsford City05/08/23Farnborough
Chelmsford City
1–0Farnborough07/04/23Farnborough
Chelmsford City
3–2Farnborough27/09/22Chelmsford City
Farnborough
0–1Chelmsford City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 |  Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |  Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 | Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●86% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Chelmsford City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 86% of their goals in the first half.
Farnborough- ●Farnborough have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Farnborough have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●87% of Farnborough's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Farnborough's points have been earned away.
- ●Farnborough have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Chelmsford CityWAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1DAWeston-super-Mare1–1
Weston-super-Mare1–1–HTonbridge Angels24/10
Tonbridge Angels24/10–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10FarnboroughLABillericay Town0–4
Billericay Town0–4DAWalton & Hersham2–2
Walton & Hersham2–2LHDover0–1
Dover0–1LAHampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2LHTonbridge Angels0–4
Tonbridge Angels0–4WABraintree2–0
Braintree2–0–HDagenham & Redbridge17/10
Dagenham & Redbridge17/10–AFolkestone Invicta24/10
Folkestone Invicta24/10–HWeston-super-Mare28/10
Weston-super-Mare28/10Top Scorers
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
H. Barbrook2 ⚽
L. Sery2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
FarnboroughS. Barratt3 ⚽
T. Frost3 ⚽
M. Bloomfield3 ⚽
O. Robinson1 ⚽
R. Smith1 ⚽
A. Whittle1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelmsford City1 🟨
FarnboroughS. Okoye1 🟨