Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United — National League - South
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Ebbsfleet United and Chesham United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Ebbsfleet United have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chesham United have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 2.27 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 87%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Ebbsfleet United and 1.29 for Chesham United. The models give Ebbsfleet United a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chesham United win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Ebbsfleet United—
Chesham United6º
Position
19º
2.25
PPG
0.91
63%
Win %
27%
1.75
Goals / game
1.45
0.38
Conceded / game
2.18
61%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
56%
Over 2.5 %
87%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ebbsfleet United
Home (4)
—
Chesham United
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
1.75
Goals / game
1.83
0.25
Conceded / game
1.83
63%
BTTS %
63%
38%
Clean sheet %
13%
50%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | Chesham United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 88% | 80% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 13% | 60% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 13% | 30% | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | Chesham United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 63% | 70% | 87% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 30% | 73% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 10% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 38% | 30% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ebbsfleet United | Chesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 40% |
| BTTS | 61% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ebbsfleet United | Chesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Ebbsfleet United (H)W
AFC Totton5–0
AFC Totton5–0W
Folkestone Invicta1–0
Folkestone Invicta1–0L
Sholing1–2
Sholing1–2D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1D
Hemel Hempstead Town0–0
Hemel Hempstead Town0–0L
Gillingham1–2
Gillingham1–2Chesham United (A)W
Horsham4–1
Horsham4–1L
Truro City1–3
Truro City1–3WAFC Totton4–0
AFC Totton4–0L
Farnborough0–1
Farnborough0–1L
Braintree2–3
Braintree2–3L
Weston-super-Mare0–3
Weston-super-Mare0–3Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Ebbsfleet United
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Chesham United
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
21/02/26Ebbsfleet United
Chesham United
4–1Ebbsfleet United22/11/25Chesham United
Ebbsfleet United
2–1Chesham United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 | Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 |  Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 | Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Chesham United- ●Chesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chesham United have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chesham United have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chesham United have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Chesham United's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Chesham United's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Ebbsfleet UnitedWHAFC Totton5–0
AFC Totton5–0WAHampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0WHFolkestone Invicta1–0
Folkestone Invicta1–0DASlough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1WATonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1–HWeston-super-Mare17/10
Weston-super-Mare17/10–HHorsham20/10
Horsham20/10–HMaidenhead24/10
Maidenhead24/10Chesham UnitedLHChelmsford City0–5
Chelmsford City0–5LHMaidenhead0–4
Maidenhead0–4WAHorsham4–1
Horsham4–1LHBillericay Town1–2
Billericay Town1–2LATruro City1–3
Truro City1–3DHDover2–2
Dover2–2–ADagenham & Redbridge24/10
Dagenham & Redbridge24/10–HFarnham Town27/10
Farnham Town27/10–HFolkestone Invicta31/10
Folkestone Invicta31/10Top Scorers
Ebbsfleet UnitedF. Barnes4 ⚽
D. Ogunleye4 ⚽
R. Nelson2 ⚽
B. Chapman2 ⚽
K. Appiah2 ⚽
G. Kennedy2 ⚽
Chesham UnitedH. Kasimu6 ⚽
6 ⚽
D. Eze3 ⚽
A. Babos3 ⚽
A. Lafleur3 ⚽
J. Bennetts2 ⚽