Horsham vs AFC Totton — National League - South
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Horsham and AFC Totton meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Horsham have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. AFC Totton have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Horsham and 1.18 for AFC Totton. The models give Horsham a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AFC Totton win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Horsham—
AFC Totton17º
Position
21º
1.10
PPG
0.91
20%
Win %
27%
1.00
Goals / game
0.73
1.20
Conceded / game
1.91
56%
BTTS %
31%
31%
Clean sheet %
15%
56%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Horsham
Home (6)
—
AFC Totton
Away (5)
0.83
PPG
0.80
17%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
0.60
1.50
Conceded / game
2.20
63%
BTTS %
40%
38%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Horsham | Home | Away | AFC Totton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 88% | 63% | 46% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 13% | 38% | 54% | 63% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Horsham | Home | Away | AFC Totton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 63% | 75% | 85% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 38% | 54% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 13% | 13% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 13% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Horsham | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS | 56% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Horsham | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Horsham (H)L
Maidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2L
Chesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4D
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1L
Farnham Town1–2
Farnham Town1–2W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0D
Salisbury0–0
Salisbury0–0AFC Totton (A)L
Ebbsfleet United0–5
Ebbsfleet United0–5L
Dover0–2
Dover0–2L
Weston-super-Mare1–3
Weston-super-Mare1–3D
Maidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1WFarnham Town1–0
Farnham Town1–0W
Eastbourne Borough3–2
Eastbourne Borough3–2Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Horsham
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
AFC Totton
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
0%
BTTS
0/3
07/03/26Horsham
AFC Totton
3–0Horsham20/09/25AFC Totton
Horsham
0–2AFC Totton09/12/23AFC Totton
Horsham
2–0AFC Totton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 | Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 | Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 |  Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Horsham- ●Horsham have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Horsham have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●75% of Horsham's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Horsham have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
AFC Totton- ●AFC Totton have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of AFC Totton's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
HorshamLHMaidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2DAChelmsford City0–0
Chelmsford City0–0LHChesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4DAFolkestone Invicta1–1
Folkestone Invicta1–1DHDagenham & Redbridge1–1
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1LHFarnham Town1–2
Farnham Town1–2–ASlough Town17/10
Slough Town17/10–AEbbsfleet United20/10
Ebbsfleet United20/10–HWalton & Hersham24/10
Walton & Hersham24/10AFC TottonLAEbbsfleet United0–5
Ebbsfleet United0–5LHWalton & Hersham0–1
Walton & Hersham0–1LADover0–2
Dover0–2LHSlough Town0–1
Slough Town0–1LAWeston-super-Mare1–3
Weston-super-Mare1–3WHHampton & Richmond4–1
Hampton & Richmond4–1–AFolkestone Invicta17/10
Folkestone Invicta17/10–AHemel Hempstead Town24/10
Hemel Hempstead Town24/10–HTorquay27/10
Torquay27/10Top Scorers
HorshamC. Hester-Cook3 ⚽
G. Luer3 ⚽
A. Nadesan3 ⚽
L. Rodrigues2 ⚽
R. Meekums1 ⚽
Trialist D1 ⚽
AFC TottonE. Ikpeama2 ⚽
I. Olateju1 ⚽
C. Ward1 ⚽
L. Hallett1 ⚽
T. Cordner1 ⚽
T. Lee1 ⚽
Cards Given
HorshamM. Haigh1 🟨
1 🟨
AFC TottonM. Chandler1 🟨