Dover vs Horsham — National League - South
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Dover and Horsham meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Dover have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Horsham have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Dover and 1.45 for Horsham. The models give Dover a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Horsham win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Dover | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 77% | 86% | 76% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 54% | 43% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 31% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 23% | 14% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Dover | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 85% | 57% | 71% | 63% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 54% | 43% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 31% | 0% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 15% | 43% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dover | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 12% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 12% |
| BTTS | 55% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dover | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dover | Horsham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +16 | 21 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 | |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 | |
| 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 | |
| 22 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 | |
| 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 | |
| 24 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Dover have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Dover have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dover have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dover have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dover failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Dover have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Dover's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Dover have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Horsham have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Horsham's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●64% of Horsham's points have been earned away.
- ●Horsham have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.

