Farnborough vs Salisbury — National League - South
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Farnborough and Salisbury meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Farnborough have recorded 7 wins from 20 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Salisbury have won 60% of their 20 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.11 for Farnborough and 1.33 for Salisbury. The models give Farnborough a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Salisbury win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Farnborough—
Salisbury17º
Position
5º
1.17
PPG
1.83
33%
Win %
50%
0.83
Goals / game
1.75
1.58
Conceded / game
0.75
40%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
45%
45%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Farnborough
Home (5)
—
Salisbury
Away (6)
1.20
PPG
1.50
40%
Win %
33%
0.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
0.83
22%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Salisbury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 56% | 73% | 90% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 22% | 45% | 55% | 73% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 11% | 9% | 40% | 55% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 44% | 27% | 10% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Salisbury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 82% | 55% | 45% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 44% | 55% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 18% | 45% | 55% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Farnborough | Salisbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 35% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Farnborough | Salisbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Farnborough (H)W
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0L
Uxbridge0–2
Uxbridge0–2L
Dover0–1
Dover0–1L
Tonbridge Angels0–4
Tonbridge Angels0–4W
Chesham United1–0
Chesham United1–0L
Hemel Hempstead Town0–2
Hemel Hempstead Town0–2Salisbury (A)W
Farnham Town2–1
Farnham Town2–1W
Truro City1–0
Truro City1–0D
Ebbsfleet United1–1
Ebbsfleet United1–1D
Chelmsford City1–1
Chelmsford City1–1L
Maidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2D
Horsham0–0
Horsham0–0Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Farnborough
38%
2
Draws
25%
3
Salisbury
38%
38%
Over 1.5
3/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
13/12/25Salisbury
Farnborough
1–0Salisbury21/10/25Farnborough
Salisbury
1–0Farnborough21/01/25Farnborough
Salisbury
0–0Farnborough16/11/24Farnborough
Salisbury
3–0Farnborough07/09/24Salisbury
Farnborough
3–1Salisbury26/03/22Farnborough
Salisbury
1–0Farnborough20/11/21Salisbury
Farnborough
2–1Salisbury02/11/19Salisbury
Farnborough
0–0Salisbury| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 | Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Farnborough- ●Farnborough have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Farnborough have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Farnborough's goals have been scored away.
- ●Farnborough have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Salisbury- ●Salisbury have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Salisbury have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Salisbury have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Salisbury have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Salisbury have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Salisbury have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Salisbury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Salisbury have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Salisbury have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Salisbury's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FarnboroughLAFolkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2WHDagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0LABillericay Town0–4
Billericay Town0–4DAWalton & Hersham2–2
Walton & Hersham2–2LHDover0–1
Dover0–1LAHampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2–HWeston-super-Mare28/10
Weston-super-Mare28/10–HHorsham31/10
Horsham31/10–HEbbsfleet United03/11
Ebbsfleet United03/11SalisburyDHDover1–1
Dover1–1WAFarnham Town2–1
Farnham Town2–1WHFolkestone Invicta2–0
Folkestone Invicta2–0WATruro City1–0
Truro City1–0DAEbbsfleet United1–1
Ebbsfleet United1–1WHSlough Town5–1
Slough Town5–1–AWalton & Hersham27/10
Walton & Hersham27/10–ATonbridge Angels31/10
Tonbridge Angels31/10–HDorking Wanderers07/11
Dorking Wanderers07/11Top Scorers
FarnboroughS. Barratt3 ⚽
T. Frost3 ⚽
M. Bloomfield3 ⚽
O. Dewsbury2 ⚽
R. Smith1 ⚽
A. Whittle1 ⚽
SalisburyN. Odokonyero12 ⚽
J. Hedges6 ⚽
J. Bartolo4 ⚽
R. Gallagher4 ⚽
C. Bradbury3 ⚽
J. Alonge2 ⚽
Cards Given
FarnboroughS. Okoye1 🟨
SalisburyJ. Bartolo2 🟨
J. Gravenell2 🟨