Truro City vs Hemel Hempstead Town — National League - South
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Truro City and Hemel Hempstead Town meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Truro City have recorded 12 wins from 20 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Hemel Hempstead Town have won 18% of their 17 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 24%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Truro City and 0.98 for Hemel Hempstead Town. The models give Truro City a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Hemel Hempstead Town win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Truro City—
Hemel Hempstead Town5º
Position
16º
1.91
PPG
1.17
55%
Win %
25%
1.55
Goals / game
0.83
0.73
Conceded / game
0.92
40%
BTTS %
53%
40%
Clean sheet %
24%
45%
Over 2.5 %
24%
11.0
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Truro City
Home (5)
—
Hemel Hempstead Town
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.57
60%
Win %
43%
1.80
Goals / game
0.86
0.60
Conceded / game
0.57
33%
BTTS %
30%
50%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
20%
11.0
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Truro City | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 63% | 65% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 38% | 35% | 14% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Truro City | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 75% | 76% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 13% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% | 24% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Truro City | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Truro City | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Truro City (H)W
Birmingham City U213–0
Birmingham City U213–0W
Cirencester Town4–0
Cirencester Town4–0W
Merthyr Town2–0
Merthyr Town2–0L
Salisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1D
Walton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1W
Leicester City U214–1
Leicester City U214–1Hemel Hempstead (A)L
Tonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1D
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0W
Slough Town2–0
Slough Town2–0L
Wingate & Finchley1–2
Wingate & Finchley1–2D
Ebbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0L
Folkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Truro City | Hemel Hempstead |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Truro City
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
Hemel Hempstead
60%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
25/01/25Truro City
Hemel Hempstead Town
3–0Truro City05/10/24Hemel Hempstead Town
Truro City
1–0Hemel Hempstead Town04/04/24Hemel Hempstead Town
Truro City
0–2Hemel Hempstead Town02/09/23Truro City
Hemel Hempstead Town
0–0Truro City29/11/14Hemel Hempstead Town
Truro City
1–2Hemel Hempstead Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +16 | 21 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 15 |  Horsham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 |  Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
Truro City- ●Truro City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Truro City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
Hemel Hempstead- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●79% of Hemel Hempstead Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Truro CityWABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1LHSalisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1DHWalton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1WHChesham United3–1
Chesham United3–1–AHampton & Richmond24/10
Hampton & Richmond24/10–HSlough Town27/10
Slough Town27/10–HEbbsfleet United31/10
Ebbsfleet United31/10Hemel HempsteadLATonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1DADagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0WASlough Town2–0
Slough Town2–0DHTonbridge Angels1–1
Tonbridge Angels1–1DAEbbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0DHFarnham Town1–1
Farnham Town1–1–HAFC Totton24/10
AFC Totton24/10–ADorking Wanderers27/10
Dorking Wanderers27/10–ABillericay Town31/10
Billericay Town31/10Top Scorers
Truro CityT. Harvey7 ⚽
W. Dean3 ⚽
B. Starkie3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
L. Jephcott2 ⚽
Hemel HempsteadR. Campbell4 ⚽
D. Longe-King1 ⚽
H. Panayiotou1 ⚽
J. Steele1 ⚽
L. Angol1 ⚽
M. Johnson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Truro CityB. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
M. Kinsey1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨
Hemel HempsteadM. Francis1 🟨