Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd — National League - South
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Chelmsford City and Maidstone Utd meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Chelmsford City have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Maidstone Utd have won 65% of their 20 matches, with 2.15 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Chelmsford City and 1.45 for Maidstone Utd. The models give Chelmsford City a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Maidstone Utd win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Chelmsford City—
Maidstone Utd15º
Position
1º
1.36
PPG
2.00
18%
Win %
62%
1.55
Goals / game
1.77
1.00
Conceded / game
1.08
50%
BTTS %
65%
44%
Clean sheet %
30%
25%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chelmsford City
Home (5)
—
Maidstone Utd
Away (7)
1.40
PPG
2.29
20%
Win %
71%
1.00
Goals / game
2.14
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
70%
60%
Clean sheet %
30%
20%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Maidstone Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 60% | 91% | 95% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 20% | 36% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 27% | 40% | 30% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 40% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Maidstone Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 64% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 9% | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 60% | 36% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelmsford City | Maidstone Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelmsford City | Maidstone Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 90% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelmsford City (H)D
Tonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3D
Horsham0–0
Horsham0–0D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Maidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0D
Truro City0–0
Truro City0–0L
Eastbourne Borough1–3
Eastbourne Borough1–3Maidstone Utd (A)D
Torquay1–1
Torquay1–1WHorsham2–1
Horsham2–1D
Cray Wanderers1–1
Cray Wanderers1–1L
Braintree1–2
Braintree1–2WTonbridge Angels1–0
Tonbridge Angels1–0W
Hampton & Richmond4–1
Hampton & Richmond4–1Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Chelmsford City
20%
3
Draws
30%
5
Maidstone Utd
50%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
40%
Over 2.5
4/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
16/02/26Maidstone Utd
Chelmsford City
1–1Maidstone Utd25/08/25Chelmsford City
Maidstone Utd
0–0Chelmsford City27/01/25Maidstone Utd
Chelmsford City
0–0Maidstone Utd03/09/24Chelmsford City
Maidstone Utd
1–5Chelmsford City12/03/24Chelmsford City
Maidstone Utd
2–0Chelmsford City20/11/23Maidstone Utd
Chelmsford City
0–1Maidstone Utd30/04/22Chelmsford City
Maidstone Utd
3–1Chelmsford City21/08/21Maidstone Utd
Chelmsford City
1–2Maidstone Utd24/10/20Maidstone Utd
Chelmsford City
1–0Maidstone Utd26/08/19Chelmsford City
Maidstone Utd
4–1Chelmsford City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 |  Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 | Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 |  Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Maidstone Utd- ●Maidstone Utd have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Maidstone Utd have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Maidstone Utd's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Maidstone Utd's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Chelmsford CityDHTonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3WAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10–HFarnham Town02/11
Farnham Town02/11Maidstone UtdDATorquay1–1
Torquay1–1WHMaidenhead2–1
Maidenhead2–1WAHorsham2–1
Horsham2–1LHTruro City1–2
Truro City1–2LABraintree1–2
Braintree1–2WATonbridge Angels1–0
Tonbridge Angels1–0–HEbbsfleet United27/10
Ebbsfleet United27/10–HSlough Town31/10
Slough Town31/10–AHemel Hempstead Town07/11
Hemel Hempstead Town07/11Top Scorers
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
H. Barbrook3 ⚽
L. Sery3 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
Maidstone UtdT. Leahy10 ⚽
R. Court8 ⚽
K. Charles8 ⚽
F. Hvid3 ⚽
L. Gravata3 ⚽
N. Boateng3 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelmsford CityLyle Taylor1 🟨
1 🟨
Maidstone Utd