Torquay vs Chelmsford City — National League - South
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Torquay and Chelmsford City meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Torquay have recorded 10 wins from 22 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Chelmsford City have won 42% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 26%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Torquay and 1.54 for Chelmsford City. The models give Torquay a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chelmsford City win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Torquay—
Chelmsford City13º
Position
12º
1.43
PPG
1.50
36%
Win %
29%
1.57
Goals / game
1.50
1.21
Conceded / game
1.00
45%
BTTS %
47%
23%
Clean sheet %
42%
50%
Over 2.5 %
26%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Torquay
Home (7)
—
Chelmsford City
Away (8)
1.57
PPG
1.75
29%
Win %
38%
1.86
Goals / game
2.00
1.14
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
54%
17%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Torquay | Home | Away | Chelmsford City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 75% | 50% | 79% | 50% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 40% | 32% | 17% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 25% | 50% | 21% | 50% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Torquay | Home | Away | Chelmsford City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 83% | 70% | 58% | 50% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 17% | 30% | 16% | 33% | 8% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 17% | 30% | 42% | 50% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Torquay | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS | 45% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 37% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Torquay | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 16% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 16% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 32% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Torquay (H)D
Maidstone Utd1–1
Maidstone Utd1–1L
Oxford City0–1
Oxford City0–1W
Slough Town5–1
Slough Town5–1W
AFC Stoneham6–1
AFC Stoneham6–1D
Dorking Wanderers2–2
Dorking Wanderers2–2W
Folkestone Invicta3–2
Folkestone Invicta3–2Chelmsford City (A)W
AFC Totton3–1
AFC Totton3–1W
Dover1–0
Dover1–0L
Wimborne Town0–1
Wimborne Town0–1W
Chesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0W
Brackley Town2–0
Brackley Town2–0W
Canvey Island1–0
Canvey Island1–0Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Torquay
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Chelmsford City
50%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
28/02/26Chelmsford City
Torquay
0–5Chelmsford City29/11/25Torquay
Chelmsford City
0–2Torquay22/02/25Torquay
Chelmsford City
3–2Torquay02/11/24Chelmsford City
Torquay
2–2Chelmsford City23/12/23Torquay
Chelmsford City
2–0Torquay09/09/23Chelmsford City
Torquay
2–1Chelmsford City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 |  Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone Utd | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Farnham Town | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +16 | 25 |
| 8 |  Tonbridge Angels | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 24 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 |  Horsham | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford City | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 15 |  Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| 16 |  Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 |  Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 9 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -23 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -24 | 4 |
Team Insights
Torquay- ●Torquay have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Torquay failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Torquay have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Torquay failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Torquay have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Torquay failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Torquay have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●76% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Chelmsford City's points have been earned away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 81% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TorquayWAWalton & Hersham3–0
Walton & Hersham3–0LAAFC Totton0–1
AFC Totton0–1DHMaidstone Utd1–1
Maidstone Utd1–1WHSlough Town5–1
Slough Town5–1LABillericay Town0–3
Billericay Town0–3DHDorking Wanderers2–2
Dorking Wanderers2–2–AHemel Hempstead Town10/11
Hemel Hempstead Town10/11–ABraintree21/11
Braintree21/11–HChesham United24/11
Chesham United24/11Chelmsford CityLHFarnham Town0–2
Farnham Town0–2WAAFC Totton3–1
AFC Totton3–1WADover1–0
Dover1–0DHTonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3WAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0–HFarnborough07/11
Farnborough07/11–HEbbsfleet United09/11
Ebbsfleet United09/11–AWalton & Hersham21/11
Walton & Hersham21/11Top Scorers
Torquay5 ⚽
J. Beaumont-Clark4 ⚽
D. Moore4 ⚽
M. Jay4 ⚽
C. Cooke3 ⚽
C. Morton2 ⚽
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
H. Barbrook4 ⚽
J. Barham3 ⚽
L. Sery3 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
Cards Given
TorquayJ. Wannell1 🟨
1 🟨
Chelmsford CityLyle Taylor1 🟨
1 🟨