Truro City vs Dover — National League - South
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Truro City and Dover meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Truro City have recorded 16 wins from 24 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Dover have won 54% of their 24 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Truro City and 1.07 for Dover. The models give Truro City a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Dover win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Truro City—
Dover4º
Position
13º
2.14
PPG
1.57
64%
Win %
43%
1.93
Goals / game
1.43
0.86
Conceded / game
1.36
42%
BTTS %
50%
42%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
1.5
0.0
Avg shots
11.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
15.0
0.0%
Avg possession
35.5%
Home vs Away
Truro City
Home (7)
—
Dover
Away (6)
2.29
PPG
1.83
71%
Win %
50%
2.14
Goals / game
1.33
0.57
Conceded / game
1.17
33%
BTTS %
50%
53%
Clean sheet %
38%
53%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
1.5
0.0
Avg shots
11.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
35.5%
Goals Scored
| Truro City | Home | Away | Dover | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 87% | 67% | 79% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 56% | 46% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 47% | 11% | 21% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 13% | 33% | 21% | 25% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Truro City | Home | Away | Dover | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 47% | 78% | 71% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 22% | 42% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 53% | 22% | 29% | 25% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Truro City | Dover | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Truro City | Dover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Truro City (H)W
West Bromwich Albion U211–0
West Bromwich Albion U211–0W
Ebbsfleet United3–0
Ebbsfleet United3–0W
Slough Town3–1
Slough Town3–1W
Birmingham City U213–0
Birmingham City U213–0W
Cirencester Town4–0
Cirencester Town4–0W
Merthyr Town2–0
Merthyr Town2–0Dover (A)D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Hanwell Town2–1
Hanwell Town2–1W
Farnborough1–0
Farnborough1–0W
Dagenham & Redbridge1–0
Dagenham & Redbridge1–0D
Chesham United2–2
Chesham United2–2W
Weston-super-Mare3–2
Weston-super-Mare3–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Truro City | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Truro City
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Dover
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
16/04/24Dover
Truro City
1–0Dover06/01/24Truro City
Dover
0–2Truro City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 | Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 30 |
| 5 |  Farnham Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 29 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Torquay | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Horsham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 13 | Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 14 | Weston-super-Mare | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
Truro City- ●Truro City have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Truro City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Truro City have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Dover- ●Dover have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dover have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dover failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Dover have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dover have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dover have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Truro CityWHEbbsfleet United3–0
Ebbsfleet United3–0WHSlough Town3–1
Slough Town3–1WAHampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3WABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1–HBillericay Town17/11
Billericay Town17/11–HHemel Hempstead Town21/11
Hemel Hempstead Town21/11–AHorsham24/11
Horsham24/11DoverWHFarnham Town1–0
Farnham Town1–0LHChelmsford City0–1
Chelmsford City0–1DASalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1DHDorking Wanderers1–1
Dorking Wanderers1–1WHAFC Totton2–0
AFC Totton2–0WAFarnborough1–0
Farnborough1–0–HHorsham21/11
Horsham21/11–AHampton & Richmond24/11
Hampton & Richmond24/11–ATruro City28/11
Truro City28/11Top Scorers
Truro CityT. Harvey13 ⚽
B. Starkie4 ⚽
O. Bogle3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
H. Greenslade3 ⚽
DoverD. Sheriff8 ⚽
J. Bates6 ⚽
R. Onu3 ⚽
E. Williams3 ⚽
Jack Bates2 ⚽
L. Baptiste2 ⚽
Cards Given
Truro CityM. Kinsey2 🟨
B. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨
DoverR. Charles-Cook2 🟨
2 🟨
J. Leberl1 🟨