Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead — National League - South
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Weston-super-Mare and Maidenhead meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Weston-super-Mare have recorded 6 wins from 22 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Maidenhead have won 18% of their 22 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.19 for Maidenhead. The models give Weston-super-Mare a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Maidenhead win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Weston-super-Mare—
Maidenhead15º
Position
19º
1.29
PPG
1.00
36%
Win %
20%
1.50
Goals / game
0.93
1.50
Conceded / game
1.27
55%
BTTS %
45%
23%
Clean sheet %
23%
50%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Weston-super-Mare
Home (7)
—
Maidenhead
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.29
57%
Win %
43%
2.00
Goals / game
1.29
0.86
Conceded / game
1.29
50%
BTTS %
30%
25%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Weston-super-Mare | Home | Away | Maidenhead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 70% | 59% | 58% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 30% | 18% | 8% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 30% | 41% | 42% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Weston-super-Mare | Home | Away | Maidenhead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 75% | 80% | 77% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 42% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 33% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 25% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Weston-super-Mare | Maidenhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS | 55% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Weston-super-Mare | Maidenhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 32% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Weston-super-Mare (H)D
Folkestone Invicta1–1
Folkestone Invicta1–1D
Wimborne Town1–1
Wimborne Town1–1W
Dagenham & Redbridge1–0
Dagenham & Redbridge1–0W
AFC Totton3–1
AFC Totton3–1D
Chelmsford City1–1
Chelmsford City1–1L
Dover2–3
Dover2–3Maidenhead (A)L
Ebbsfleet United0–4
Ebbsfleet United0–4L
Maidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2W
Chesham United4–0
Chesham United4–0WDover3–0
Dover3–0LChelmsford City0–1
Chelmsford City0–1W
Hemel Hempstead Town1–0
Hemel Hempstead Town1–0Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Weston-super-Mare
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Maidenhead
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
28/03/26Weston-super-Mare
Maidenhead
1–2Weston-super-Mare23/08/25Maidenhead
Weston-super-Mare
1–0Maidenhead14/10/23Maidenhead
Weston-super-Mare
0–3Maidenhead| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 |  Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone Utd | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 5 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Farnham Town | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +16 | 25 |
| 8 |  Tonbridge Angels | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 |  Horsham | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford City | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 13 |  Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| 16 |  Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 9 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -23 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -24 | 4 |
Team Insights
Weston-super-Mare- ●Weston-super-Mare have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Weston-super-Mare's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Weston-super-Mare's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Weston-super-Mare's points have been earned at home.
Maidenhead- ●Maidenhead have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Maidenhead have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Maidenhead have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Maidenhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Maidenhead have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Maidenhead have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Maidenhead's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Maidenhead's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Weston-super-MareLADorking Wanderers0–2
Dorking Wanderers0–2LAFarnborough1–2
Farnborough1–2LAEbbsfleet United1–6
Ebbsfleet United1–6DHFolkestone Invicta1–1
Folkestone Invicta1–1LAFarnham Town2–3
Farnham Town2–3WHDagenham & Redbridge1–0
Dagenham & Redbridge1–0–HBraintree07/11
Braintree07/11–ATonbridge Angels21/11
Tonbridge Angels21/11–HWalton & Hersham24/11
Walton & Hersham24/11MaidenheadDHDagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0DHHorsham1–1
Horsham1–1LAEbbsfleet United0–4
Ebbsfleet United0–4LAMaidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2LHTonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1WAChesham United4–0
Chesham United4–0–AHampton & Richmond07/11
Hampton & Richmond07/11–HFolkestone Invicta21/11
Folkestone Invicta21/11–AFarnham Town24/11
Farnham Town24/11Top Scorers
Weston-super-MareB. Ash5 ⚽
O. Hulbert4 ⚽
L. Britton4 ⚽
L. Coulson3 ⚽
L. Derrick3 ⚽
J. Cane3 ⚽
MaidenheadA. Pendlebury5 ⚽
J. Umerah3 ⚽
D. Nkrumah3 ⚽
J. Ragguette2 ⚽
C. Hall2 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
Cards Given
Weston-super-MareM. Smith1 🟨
W. Dawes1 🟨
MaidenheadG. David Abbott2 🟨
J. Coley1 🟨
J. Ragguette1 🟨
M. Achuba1 🟨