Farnborough vs Truro City — National League - South
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Farnborough and Truro City meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Farnborough have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.04 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Truro City have won 67% of their 24 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Farnborough and 1.84 for Truro City. The models give Farnborough a 23% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Truro City win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Farnborough—
Truro City17º
Position
3º
1.06
PPG
2.14
31%
Win %
64%
0.81
Goals / game
1.93
2.06
Conceded / game
0.86
42%
BTTS %
42%
21%
Clean sheet %
42%
54%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Farnborough
Home (8)
—
Truro City
Away (7)
1.13
PPG
2.00
38%
Win %
57%
0.63
Goals / game
1.71
2.38
Conceded / game
1.14
25%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
22%
50%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Truro City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 79% | 87% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 42% | 63% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | 47% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Farnborough | Home | Away | Truro City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 83% | 58% | 47% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 58% | 8% | 0% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 25% | 17% | 42% | 53% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Farnborough | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 42% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Farnborough | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Farnborough (H)L
Ebbsfleet United0–6
Ebbsfleet United0–6L
Horsham0–5
Horsham0–5W
Weston-super-Mare2–1
Weston-super-Mare2–1W
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0L
Uxbridge0–2
Uxbridge0–2L
Dover0–1
Dover0–1Truro City (A)W
Hampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3L
Sutton Utd0–1
Sutton Utd0–1W
Braintree2–1
Braintree2–1D
Farnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2W
Maidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1D
Merthyr Town1–1
Merthyr Town1–1Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Farnborough
33%
3
Draws
33%
3
Truro City
33%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
78%
BTTS
7/9
11/02/25Farnborough
Truro City
1–1Farnborough22/10/24Truro City
Farnborough
1–1Truro City17/02/24Truro City
Farnborough
3–2Truro City28/08/23Farnborough
Truro City
3–1Farnborough11/12/21Farnborough
Truro City
2–2Farnborough02/10/21Truro City
Farnborough
2–0Truro City01/02/20Farnborough
Truro City
2–1Farnborough31/08/19Truro City
Farnborough
0–2Truro City10/11/12Truro City
Farnborough
3–2Truro City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +26 | 34 |
| 2 | Maidstone Utd | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 | Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 | Farnham Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
| 10 |  Chelmsford City | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Horsham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 | Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 | Weston-super-Mare | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Braintree | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
Farnborough- ●Farnborough have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Farnborough have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Farnborough have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Farnborough have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Farnborough have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Farnborough have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Farnborough's goals have been scored away.
Truro City- ●Truro City have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Truro City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Truro City have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FarnboroughLAChelmsford City1–2
Chelmsford City1–2LHEbbsfleet United0–6
Ebbsfleet United0–6LHHorsham0–5
Horsham0–5WHWeston-super-Mare2–1
Weston-super-Mare2–1LAFolkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2WHDagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0–HSalisbury21/11
Salisbury21/11–ASlough Town24/11
Slough Town24/11–ADorking Wanderers28/11
Dorking Wanderers28/11Truro CityWHEbbsfleet United3–0
Ebbsfleet United3–0WHSlough Town3–1
Slough Town3–1WAHampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3WABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1–HBillericay Town17/11
Billericay Town17/11–HHemel Hempstead Town21/11
Hemel Hempstead Town21/11–AHorsham24/11
Horsham24/11Top Scorers
FarnboroughM. Bloomfield5 ⚽
S. Barratt3 ⚽
T. Frost3 ⚽
O. Dewsbury2 ⚽
O. Robinson1 ⚽
R. Smith1 ⚽
Truro CityT. Harvey13 ⚽
B. Starkie4 ⚽
O. Bogle3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
H. Greenslade3 ⚽
Cards Given
FarnboroughS. Okoye1 🟨
Truro CityM. Kinsey2 🟨
B. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨