Horsham vs Weston-super-Mare — National League - South
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Horsham and Weston-super-Mare meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Horsham have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Weston-super-Mare have won 30% of their 23 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Horsham and 1.29 for Weston-super-Mare. The models give Horsham a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Weston-super-Mare win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Horsham—
Weston-super-Mare11º
Position
13º
1.38
PPG
1.40
31%
Win %
40%
1.44
Goals / game
1.67
1.19
Conceded / game
1.47
59%
BTTS %
57%
32%
Clean sheet %
22%
59%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Horsham
Home (8)
—
Weston-super-Mare
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
0.57
25%
Win %
14%
1.13
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
2.14
60%
BTTS %
60%
40%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Horsham | Home | Away | Weston-super-Mare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 90% | 75% | 74% | 77% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 40% | 42% | 35% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 26% | 31% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 10% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Horsham | Home | Away | Weston-super-Mare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 60% | 75% | 78% | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 50% | 33% | 35% | 31% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 40% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Horsham | Weston-super-Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS | 59% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Horsham | Weston-super-Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Horsham (H)L
AFC Totton2–3
AFC Totton2–3W
Walton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0L
Maidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2L
Chesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4D
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1L
Farnham Town1–2
Farnham Town1–2Weston-super-Mare (A)L
Dorking Wanderers0–2
Dorking Wanderers0–2L
Farnborough1–2
Farnborough1–2L
Ebbsfleet United1–6
Ebbsfleet United1–6LFarnham Town2–3
Farnham Town2–3D
Wimborne Town1–1
Wimborne Town1–1LMaidstone Utd0–1
Maidstone Utd0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Horsham
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Weston-super-Mare
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
14/04/26Horsham
Weston-super-Mare
1–0Horsham29/11/25Weston-super-Mare
Horsham
1–1Weston-super-Mare| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +26 | 34 |
| 2 | Maidstone Utd | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 | Farnham Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
| 10 |  Chelmsford City | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Horsham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 | Weston-super-Mare | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 | AFC Totton | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
Horsham- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Horsham have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Horsham have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●64% of Horsham's points have been earned away.
- ●Horsham have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Weston-super-Mare- ●Weston-super-Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Weston-super-Mare have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●72% of Weston-super-Mare's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Weston-super-Mare's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of Weston-super-Mare's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
HorshamLHAFC Totton2–3
AFC Totton2–3WAFarnborough5–0
Farnborough5–0DAMaidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1WHWalton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0DAEbbsfleet United2–2
Ebbsfleet United2–2WASlough Town2–1
Slough Town2–1–ADover21/11
Dover21/11–HTruro City24/11
Truro City24/11–ABillericay Town28/11
Billericay Town28/11Weston-super-MareWHBraintree4–1
Braintree4–1LADorking Wanderers0–2
Dorking Wanderers0–2LAFarnborough1–2
Farnborough1–2LAEbbsfleet United1–6
Ebbsfleet United1–6DHFolkestone Invicta1–1
Folkestone Invicta1–1LAFarnham Town2–3
Farnham Town2–3–ATonbridge Angels21/11
Tonbridge Angels21/11–HWalton & Hersham24/11
Walton & Hersham24/11–HMaidenhead28/11
Maidenhead28/11Top Scorers
HorshamG. Luer5 ⚽
C. Hester-Cook4 ⚽
J. Yila3 ⚽
R. Meekums3 ⚽
A. Nadesan3 ⚽
J. Hammond2 ⚽
Weston-super-MareO. Hulbert5 ⚽
L. Coulson5 ⚽
B. Ash5 ⚽
L. Britton4 ⚽
L. Derrick3 ⚽
J. Cane3 ⚽
Cards Given
HorshamM. Haigh1 🟨
1 🟨
Weston-super-MareM. Smith1 🟨
W. Dawes1 🟨