Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town — National League - South
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Tonbridge Angels and Hemel Hempstead Town meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Tonbridge Angels have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Hemel Hempstead Town have won 19% of their 16 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Tonbridge Angels and 1.32 for Hemel Hempstead Town. The models give Tonbridge Angels a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Hemel Hempstead Town win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Tonbridge Angels—
Hemel Hempstead Town9º
Position
14º
1.55
PPG
1.27
45%
Win %
27%
1.82
Goals / game
0.91
1.00
Conceded / game
0.91
50%
BTTS %
56%
28%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tonbridge Angels
Home (5)
—
Hemel Hempstead Town
Away (6)
0.60
PPG
1.83
20%
Win %
50%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.60
Conceded / game
0.50
58%
BTTS %
33%
8%
Clean sheet %
44%
58%
Over 2.5 %
22%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tonbridge Angels | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 67% | 100% | 69% | 86% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 42% | 50% | 19% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 33% | 0% | 31% | 14% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Tonbridge Angels | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 92% | 33% | 75% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 50% | 17% | 25% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 8% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tonbridge Angels | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tonbridge Angels | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Tonbridge Angels (H)L
Torquay0–1
Torquay0–1L
Ebbsfleet United1–2
Ebbsfleet United1–2W
Ramsgate2–1
Ramsgate2–1L
Maidstone Utd0–1
Maidstone Utd0–1W
Walton & Hersham5–1
Walton & Hersham5–1L
Truro City0–2
Truro City0–2Hemel Hempstead (A)D
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0W
Slough Town2–0
Slough Town2–0L
Wingate & Finchley1–2
Wingate & Finchley1–2DEbbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0L
Folkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2W
Salisbury2–1
Salisbury2–1Head to Head · 14 matches
1
Tonbridge Angels
7%
5
Draws
36%
8
Hemel Hempstead
57%
86%
Over 1.5
12/14
29%
Over 2.5
4/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
12/09/26Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1Tonbridge Angels28/02/26Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0Tonbridge Angels29/11/25Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
1–3Hemel Hempstead Town01/03/25Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0Tonbridge Angels23/11/24Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
2–0Hemel Hempstead Town13/01/24Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0Tonbridge Angels07/10/23Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
3–3Hemel Hempstead Town07/04/23Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
1–1Hemel Hempstead Town27/09/22Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0Tonbridge Angels26/03/22Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
4–3Tonbridge Angels22/01/22Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
1–1Hemel Hempstead Town28/11/20Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
1–2Hemel Hempstead Town21/12/19Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1Tonbridge Angels14/09/19Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
0–2Hemel Hempstead Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 |  Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 |  Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 |  Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 |  Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |  Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tonbridge Angels- ●Tonbridge Angels failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Tonbridge Angels have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Tonbridge Angels's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Tonbridge Angels's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●82% of Tonbridge Angels's points have been earned away.
Hemel Hempstead- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Hemel Hempstead Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●79% of Hemel Hempstead Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Tonbridge AngelsWAMaidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0LHEbbsfleet United1–2
Ebbsfleet United1–2DAHemel Hempstead Town1–1
Hemel Hempstead Town1–1LHMaidstone Utd0–1
Maidstone Utd0–1WAFarnborough4–0
Farnborough4–0WHWalton & Hersham5–1
Walton & Hersham5–1–HHemel Hempstead Town17/10
Hemel Hempstead Town17/10–AChelmsford City24/10
Chelmsford City24/10–HFolkestone Invicta27/10
Folkestone Invicta27/10Hemel HempsteadDADagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0WASlough Town2–0
Slough Town2–0DHTonbridge Angels1–1
Tonbridge Angels1–1DAEbbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0DHFarnham Town1–1
Farnham Town1–1LAFolkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2–ATonbridge Angels17/10
Tonbridge Angels17/10–HAFC Totton24/10
AFC Totton24/10–ADorking Wanderers27/10
Dorking Wanderers27/10Top Scorers
Tonbridge AngelsJ. Tanga7 ⚽
F. Baker5 ⚽
E. Sutcliffe3 ⚽
L. Reynolds2 ⚽
R. Korboa2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Hemel HempsteadR. Campbell4 ⚽
D. Longe-King1 ⚽
H. Panayiotou1 ⚽
J. Steele1 ⚽
L. Angol1 ⚽
M. Johnson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Tonbridge AngelsJ. Tanga2 🟨
Hemel HempsteadM. Francis1 🟨