Tolmin vs Adria — 3. SNL - West
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Tolmin and Adria meet in the 3. SNL - West 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Tolmin have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Adria have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Tolmin and 1.02 for Adria. The models give Tolmin a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Adria win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Tolmin
AdriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tolmin | Home | Away | Adria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 83% | 67% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 67% | 44% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 17% | 67% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 17% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Tolmin | Home | Away | Adria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 17% | 100% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 33% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tolmin | Adria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS | 56% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tolmin | Adria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Tolmin (H)
Svoboda2–0
Rudar Trbovlje5–1
Izola0–1
Škofja Loka2–2
IB 1975 Ljubljana1–0
Dob1–1Adria (A)IB 1975 Ljubljana1–2
Litija0–3
Zidgrad Idrija1–2Rudar Trbovlje1–3
Žiri1–1Tolmin0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
TolminAdriaAdriaTolmin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +34 | 27 |
| 2 | Dob | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 20 |
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Šencur | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Litija | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Rudar Trbovlje | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Škofja Loka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Adria | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Žiri | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | IB 1975 Ljubljana | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 |  Vipava | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -27 | 6 |
| 13 |  Šobec Lesce | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tolmin- ●Tolmin have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tolmin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tolmin failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
Adria- ●Adria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Adria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Adria have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Adria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Adria have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Adria failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Adria have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Adria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Adria's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Adria's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
TolminZidgrad Idrija0–2Svoboda2–0Rudar Trbovlje5–1Izola0–1Žiri4–2Škofja Loka2–2Šobec Lesce17/10Litija28/10Adria31/10AdriaVipava7–1IB 1975 Ljubljana1–2Litija0–3Šobec Lesce2–0Zidgrad Idrija1–2Svoboda4–1Dob17/10Šencur28/10Tolmin31/10Top Scorers
TolminAdria