Tolmin vs Šencur — 3. SNL - West
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Tolmin and Šencur meet in the 3. SNL - West 2026 season on 5 March 2027. Tolmin have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Šencur have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for Tolmin and 1.21 for Šencur. The models give Tolmin a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Šencur win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Tolmin
ŠencurHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tolmin | Home | Away | Šencur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 75% | 54% | 83% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 25% | 75% | 46% | 83% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Tolmin | Home | Away | Šencur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 25% | 75% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tolmin | Šencur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 46% |
| BTTS | 50% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tolmin | Šencur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Tolmin (H)
Adria4–2
Šobec Lesce0–1
Svoboda2–0
Rudar Trbovlje5–1
Izola0–1
Škofja Loka2–2Šencur (A)Adria1–2
Litija0–7Šobec Lesce0–0
Zidgrad Idrija4–2Svoboda1–0Izola2–5Head to Head · 4 matches
TolminTolminŠencurŠencur| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +45 | 34 |
| 2 |  Dob | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +22 | 27 |
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | Litija | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 | Šencur | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 | Tolmin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Rudar Trbovlje | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 16 |
| 8 | Škofja Loka | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 | Adria | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Žiri | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  IB 1975 Ljubljana | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Šobec Lesce | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 13 |  Vipava | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -35 | 7 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 5 |
Team Insights
Tolmin- ●Tolmin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tolmin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●68% of Tolmin's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Tolmin's points have been earned at home.
Šencur- ●Šencur have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Šencur have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Šencur have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Šencur failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Šencur have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●81% of Šencur's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
TolminAdria4–2Šobec Lesce0–1Zidgrad Idrija0–2Svoboda2–0Rudar Trbovlje5–1Izola0–1Litija04/11Vipava08/11Dob14/11ŠencurVipava4–1Adria1–2Litija0–7Šobec Lesce0–0Zidgrad Idrija4–2Svoboda1–0Dob07/11IB 1975 Ljubljana14/11Tolmin05/03Top Scorers
TolminŠencur