Alanya 1221 FK vs Bucaspor 1928 — 3. Lig - Group 2
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Alanya 1221 FK and Bucaspor 1928 meet in the 3. Lig - Group 2 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Alanya 1221 FK have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Bucaspor 1928 have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Alanya 1221 FK and 1.41 for Bucaspor 1928. The models give Alanya 1221 FK a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bucaspor 1928 win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Alanya 1221 FKBucaspor 1928Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alanya 1221 | Home | Away | Bucaspor 1928 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 40% | 67% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 20% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 60% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Alanya 1221 | Home | Away | Bucaspor 1928 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 73% | 80% | 67% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 55% | 40% | 67% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alanya 1221 | Bucaspor 1928 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 9% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alanya 1221 | Bucaspor 1928 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 82% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 9% |
Recent Venue Form
Alanya 1221 (H)
Ayvalikgucu4–2
Kepezspor1–2
Bursa Yıldırımspor0–1
Etimesgut SK0–3
Balıkesirspor0–3
Denizli İYG0–0Bucaspor 1928 (A)Ayvalikgucu1–2Kepezspor3–1Bursa Yıldırımspor0–1Etimesgut SK0–2Balıkesirspor1–4
Karacabey Belediyespor1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nilüfer Belediye | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +15 | 22 |
| 2 |  Eskişehirspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 3 |  Anadolu Üniversitesi | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Balıkesirspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 5 | Etimesgut SK | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +8 | 20 |
| 7 |  Karsiyaka | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 8 | Ayvalikgucu | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |  Bigaspor | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Gaziemirspor | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Altay | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Söke 1970 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Kepezspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Uşak Spor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Bucaspor 1928 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Denizli İYG | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Alanya 1221 FK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 17 |  Tire 2021 FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Akşehirspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Alanya 1221- ●Alanya 1221 FK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Alanya 1221 FK have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Alanya 1221 FK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Alanya 1221 FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Alanya 1221 FK have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Alanya 1221 FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Bucaspor 1928- ●Bucaspor 1928 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bucaspor 1928 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bucaspor 1928 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bucaspor 1928 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bucaspor 1928 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bucaspor 1928 have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Alanya 1221Ayvalikgucu4–2Anadolu Üniversitesi1–5Kepezspor1–2Gaziemirspor2–1Bursa Yıldırımspor0–1Altay0–0Söke 197011/11Denizli İYG15/11Karsiyaka22/11Bucaspor 1928Söke 19700–0Ayvalikgucu1–2Anadolu Üniversitesi0–1Kepezspor3–1Gaziemirspor1–2Bursa Yıldırımspor0–1Denizli İYG11/11Karsiyaka15/11Nilüfer Belediye21/11Top Scorers
Alanya 1221Bucaspor 1928