Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis — Super League 1
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Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis meet in the Super League 1 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Panathinaikos have recorded 19 wins from 24 matches this season (79% win rate), averaging 2.25 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Aris Thessalonikis have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.50 for Panathinaikos and 1.09 for Aris Thessalonikis. The models give Panathinaikos a 65% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Aris Thessalonikis win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Panathinaikos—
Aris Thessalonikis1º
Position
5º
2.67
PPG
1.78
89%
Win %
56%
2.22
Goals / game
1.44
0.44
Conceded / game
1.89
58%
BTTS %
60%
38%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
7.2
Avg corners
5.4
17.6
Avg shots
15.2
6.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.0
13.8
Avg fouls
17.1
58.6%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Panathinaikos
Home (5)
—
Aris Thessalonikis
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
1.20
100%
Win %
40%
3.20
Goals / game
1.00
0.60
Conceded / game
2.60
67%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
10%
75%
Over 2.5 %
70%
7.2
Avg corners
5.4
17.6
Avg shots
15.2
6.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.0
58.6%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Panathinaikos | Home | Away | Aris Thessalonikis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 92% | 73% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 67% | 53% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 42% | 25% | 27% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 8% | 27% | 20% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Panathinaikos | Home | Away | Aris Thessalonikis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 67% | 58% | 80% | 60% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 8% | 47% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 20% | 0% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 33% | 42% | 20% | 40% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Panathinaikos | Aris Thessalonikis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS | 58% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Panathinaikos | Aris Thessalonikis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Panathinaikos (H)W
AEK Athens FC2–0
AEK Athens FC2–0WAris Thessalonikis2–1
Aris Thessalonikis2–1W
Asteras Tripolis5–1
Asteras Tripolis5–1W
Borac Banja Luka2–1
Borac Banja Luka2–1W
Panetolikos3–0
Panetolikos3–0W
Kifisia3–1
Kifisia3–1Aris Thessalonikis (A)L
Levadiakos0–3
Levadiakos0–3LPanathinaikos1–2
Panathinaikos1–2WKifisia2–1
Kifisia2–1L
PAOK0–2
PAOK0–2DAsteras Tripolis1–1
Asteras Tripolis1–1LAEK Athens FC0–5
AEK Athens FC0–5Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
17 games
League Avg
8.8
62 games
8.1
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Panathinaikos | Aris Thessalonikis | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 94% | 56% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 88% | 56% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 65% | 44% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 33% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 0% | 5% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Panathinaikos | Aris Thessalonikis |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.2 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 88% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 53% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 47% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 11% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
18
Panathinaikos
51%
8
Draws
23%
9
Aris Thessalonikis
26%
60%
Over 1.5
21/35
23%
Over 2.5
8/35
11%
Over 3.5
4/35
31%
BTTS
11/35
28/10/26Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
2–1Aris Thessalonikis01/03/26Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
3–1Aris Thessalonikis14/01/26Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
3–0Aris Thessalonikis19/10/25Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
1–1Panathinaikos09/02/25Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
2–0Panathinaikos27/10/24Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1–1Aris Thessalonikis25/05/24Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1–0Aris Thessalonikis28/04/24Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
0–1Aris Thessalonikis07/04/24Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0–2Panathinaikos28/02/24Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
2–0Aris Thessalonikis26/11/23Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
2–0Panathinaikos14/05/23Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1–1Aris Thessalonikis05/04/23Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0–1Panathinaikos12/02/23Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
1–2Panathinaikos23/10/22Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1–0Aris Thessalonikis01/05/22Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1–0Aris Thessalonikis20/03/22Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0–0Panathinaikos05/01/22Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
2–0Aris Thessalonikis22/09/21Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
1–0Panathinaikos12/05/21Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0–0Panathinaikos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | PAOK | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | AEK Athens FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 17 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 16 |
| 6 |  OFI | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Kalamata | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Iraklis 1908 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Panathinaikos- ●Panathinaikos have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Panathinaikos have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Panathinaikos have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Panathinaikos have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Panathinaikos's goals have been scored at home.
Aris Thessalonikis- ●Aris Thessalonikis have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aris Thessalonikis failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Aris Thessalonikis failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Aris Thessalonikis's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Aris Thessalonikis's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Aris Thessalonikis have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PanathinaikosWHAEK Athens FC2–0
AEK Athens FC2–0WAVolos NFC1–0
Volos NFC1–0WHAsteras Tripolis5–1
Asteras Tripolis5–1LAOlympiakos Piraeus0–1
Olympiakos Piraeus0–1WAKalamata1–0
Kalamata1–0WHPanetolikos3–0
Panetolikos3–0–AIraklis 190808/11
Iraklis 190808/11–HOFI22/11
OFI22/11–AAtromitos29/11
Atromitos29/11Aris ThessalonikisLALevadiakos0–3
Levadiakos0–3WHAtromitos3–1
Atromitos3–1WAKifisia2–1
Kifisia2–1WHVolos NFC3–2
Volos NFC3–2DHIraklis 19080–0
Iraklis 19080–0LAPAOK0–2
PAOK0–2–HPanetolikos07/11
Panetolikos07/11–AAsteras Tripolis23/11
Asteras Tripolis23/11–HOlympiakos Piraeus29/11
Olympiakos Piraeus29/11Top Scorers
PanathinaikosC. Dessers7 ⚽
Andrews Tetteh5 ⚽
V. Taborda5 ⚽
A. Tetteh4 ⚽
E. Rastoder3 ⚽
A. Jagusic3 ⚽
Aris ThessalonikisU. Racic4 ⚽
Fabiano Leismann2 ⚽
Christian Kouamé2 ⚽
Fabiano2 ⚽
T. Kadewere2 ⚽
C. Kouame1 ⚽
Cards Given
PanathinaikosEtiene Camara3 🟨
G. Katris3 🟨
Kings Kangwa2 🟨
Anass Salah-Eddine2 🟨
Imrân Louza2 🟨
S. Andino2 🟨
Aris ThessalonikisBoško Šutalo3 🟨
Tino Kadewere2 🟨
B. Garre2 🟨
J. Petris2 🟨
Jeremy Petris2 🟨
Fabiano Leismann1 🟨