Sárbogárd vs Paksi SE II — NB III - Southwest
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Sárbogárd and Paksi SE II meet in the NB III - Southwest 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Sárbogárd have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Paksi SE II have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 2.06 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Sárbogárd and 1.66 for Paksi SE II. The models give Sárbogárd a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Paksi SE II win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
SárbogárdPaksi SE IIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sárbogárd | Home | Away | Paksi SE | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 94% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 56% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 40% | 60% | 6% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sárbogárd | Home | Away | Paksi SE | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 40% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 44% | 17% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sárbogárd | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS | 50% | 81% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sárbogárd | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 89% | 58% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 100% | 83% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Sárbogárd (H)
Szekszárd2–1
Siofok1–1
Pécsi MFC0–6
Budafoki LC0–1Paksi SE II1–3
Dombóvári1–6Paksi SE (A)
PTE-PEAC1–1
Kaposvar1–3
Érdi VSE1–3
Majosi2–2Szekszárd2–3Kaposvar2–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Paksi SE II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +25 | 24 |
| 2 | Budafoki LC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Kaposvar | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 | PTE-PEAC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Majosi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  MTK Budapest II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ferencváros II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Siofok | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Budaörs | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 | Érdi VSE | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Iváncsa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Dunaharaszti MTK | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Sárbogárd | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 14 | Paksi SE II | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | Szekszárd | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -27 | 0 |
| 15 |  Dunaujvaros FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Team Insights
Sárbogárd- ●Sárbogárd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sárbogárd have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sárbogárd have conceded 74% of their goals in the first half.
Paksi SE- ●Paksi SE II have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Paksi SE II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Paksi SE II have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paksi SE II have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paksi SE II have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Paksi SE II have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SárbogárdÉrdi VSE3–4Szekszárd2–1Ferencváros II0–1Siofok1–1Majosi0–3Pécsi MFC0–6Budaörs26/09Iváncsa03/10Dunaujvaros FC10/10Paksi SEBudafoki LC1–2PTE-PEAC1–1MTK Budapest II2–4Kaposvar1–3Iváncsa0–2Ferencváros II2–2Siofok27/09Szekszárd03/10Budaörs10/10Top Scorers
SárbogárdPaksi SECards Given
SárbogárdPaksi SE