Hungary · NB III - Southwest · Southwest - 14

MTK Budapest II

6º · 1.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h

–

Sárbogárd

13º · 0.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 42d 2h

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MTK Budapest II and Sárbogárd meet in the NB III - Southwest 2026 season on 31 October 2026. MTK Budapest II have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 3.00 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Sárbogárd have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 3.02 for MTK Budapest II and 1.20 for Sárbogárd. The models give MTK Budapest II a 71% win probability, with a draw at 18% and an Sárbogárd win at 12%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

MTK Budapest II

—

Sárbogárd

6º

Position

13º

1.71

PPG

0.50

57%

Win %

13%

3.00

Goals / game

0.88

1.71

Conceded / game

2.38

57%

BTTS %

50%

14%

Clean sheet %

86%

Over 2.5 %

70%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

MTK Budapest II

Home (3)

—

Sárbogárd

Away (4)

3.00

PPG

0.00

100%

Win %

5.33

Goals / game

1.00

1.33

Conceded / game

2.50

67%

BTTS %

40%

33%

Clean sheet %

100%

Over 2.5 %

80%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	MTK Budapest	Home	Away	Sárbogárd	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	71%	100%	50%	50%	60%	40%
Over 1.5 Scored	57%	100%	25%	20%	20%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	57%	100%	25%	10%	0%	20%
Failed To Score	29%	0%	50%	50%	40%	60%

Goals Conceded

	MTK Budapest	Home	Away	Sárbogárd	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	86%	67%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	71%	67%	75%	60%	40%	80%
Over 2.5 Conceded	14%	0%	25%	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	14%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	MTK Budapest	Sárbogárd
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	86%	80%
Over 2.5	86%	70%
Over 3.5	57%	30%
Over 4.5	57%	20%
BTTS	57%	50%
BTTS & Win	43%	10%
BTTS & Draw	0%	10%
BTTS & Over 2.5	57%	40%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	29%	30%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	MTK Budapest	Sárbogárd
Win 1st Half	57%	0%
Draw 1st Half	14%	11%
Loss 1st Half	29%	89%
Scored 1st Half	71%	22%
Conceded 1st Half	57%	100%
Win 2nd Half	43%	44%
Draw 2nd Half	29%	33%
Loss 2nd Half	29%	22%
Scored 2nd Half	57%	44%
Conceded 2nd Half	57%	33%
Over 0.5 HT	86%	100%
Over 1.5 HT	57%	67%

Recent Venue Form

MTK Budapest (H)

Dunaharaszti MTK4–2

Szekszárd8–0

Budafoki LC4–2

Dunaujvaros FC2–0

Pécsi MFC1–1

Szekszárd4–0

Sárbogárd (A)

Érdi VSE3–4

Ferencváros II0–1

Pécsi MFC0–3

Majosi0–3

PTE-PEAC1–2

Gyógyfürdő Harkányi3–1

NB III - Southwest

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pécsi MFC	8	8	0	0	+25	24
2	Budafoki LC	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Kaposvar	7	5	0	2	+11	15
4	PTE-PEAC	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Majosi	8	4	1	3	0	13
6	MTK Budapest II	7	4	0	3	+9	12
7	Ferencváros II	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Siofok	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Budaörs	8	3	1	4	-10	10
10	Érdi VSE	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Iváncsa	7	3	0	4	-5	9
12	Dunaharaszti MTK	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Sárbogárd	8	1	1	6	-12	4
14	Paksi SE II	8	0	3	5	-9	3
15	Szekszárd	8	0	0	8	-27	0
15	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Team Insights

MTK Budapest

●MTK Budapest II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
●MTK Budapest II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●MTK Budapest II have won their last 3 home matches.
●76% of MTK Budapest II's goals have been scored at home.
●67% of MTK Budapest II's goals conceded were conceded away.
●75% of MTK Budapest II's points have been earned at home.

Sárbogárd