Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd — NB III - Southwest
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Pécsi MFC and Sárbogárd meet in the NB III - Southwest 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Pécsi MFC have recorded 14 wins from 16 matches this season (88% win rate), averaging 2.63 goals scored and 0.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 63% of games. Sárbogárd have won 8% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 2.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 3.11 for Pécsi MFC and 0.82 for Sárbogárd. The models give Pécsi MFC a 82% win probability, with a draw at 14% and an Sárbogárd win at 4%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Pécsi MFC—
Sárbogárd1º
Position
14º
2.83
PPG
0.45
92%
Win %
9%
2.83
Goals / game
0.82
0.33
Conceded / game
2.82
38%
BTTS %
54%
63%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pécsi MFC
Home (6)
—
Sárbogárd
Away (6)
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
3.33
Goals / game
0.83
0.17
Conceded / game
3.50
33%
BTTS %
43%
67%
Clean sheet %
0%
78%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pécsi MFC | Home | Away | Sárbogárd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 54% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 89% | 43% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Pécsi MFC | Home | Away | Sárbogárd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 43% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 6% | 11% | 0% | 62% | 33% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 63% | 67% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pécsi MFC | Sárbogárd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 31% |
| BTTS | 38% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 38% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pécsi MFC | Sárbogárd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 83% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 100% |
| Win 2nd Half | 69% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 75% |
Recent Venue Form
Pécsi MFC (H)W
Szekszárd3–0
Szekszárd3–0W
Budafoki LC2–1
Budafoki LC2–1W
MTK Budapest II3–0
MTK Budapest II3–0W
Tiszakecske FC3–2
Tiszakecske FC3–2W
Iváncsa7–0
Iváncsa7–0WSárbogárd3–0
Sárbogárd3–0Sárbogárd (A)L
Kaposvar0–7
Kaposvar0–7LIváncsa1–4
Iváncsa1–4L
Érdi VSE3–4
Érdi VSE3–4L
Ferencváros II0–1
Ferencváros II0–1LPécsi MFC0–3
Pécsi MFC0–3L
Majosi0–3
Majosi0–3Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Pécsi MFC
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Sárbogárd
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
21/08/26Sárbogárd
Pécsi MFC
3–0Sárbogárd12/08/26Pécsi MFC
Sárbogárd
0–6Pécsi MFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +30 | 34 |
| 2 | Kaposvar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +17 | 22 |
| 3 | Ferencváros II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Dunaharaszti MTK | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Iváncsa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Majosi | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 | Budafoki LC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  PTE-PEAC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Érdi VSE | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Siofok | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Budaörs | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 12 |
| 13 |  Paksi SE II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 5 |
| 15 | Szekszárd | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -40 | 0 |
| 15 |  Dunaujvaros FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Team Insights
Pécsi MFC- ●Pécsi MFC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pécsi MFC have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Sárbogárd- ●Sárbogárd have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sárbogárd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Sárbogárd have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sárbogárd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sárbogárd have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sárbogárd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sárbogárd have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sárbogárd failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sárbogárd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sárbogárd have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Sárbogárd's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Sárbogárd have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pécsi MFCWHSzekszárd3–0
Szekszárd3–0WASiofok1–0
Siofok1–0WHBudafoki LC2–1
Budafoki LC2–1DAPTE-PEAC1–1
PTE-PEAC1–1WHMTK Budapest II3–0
MTK Budapest II3–0WAKaposvar1–0
Kaposvar1–0–ABudaörs24/10
Budaörs24/10–HDunaujvaros FC31/10
Dunaujvaros FC31/10–APaksi SE II08/11
Paksi SE II08/11SárbogárdLAKaposvar0–7
Kaposvar0–7LAIváncsa1–4
Iváncsa1–4DHBudaörs1–1
Budaörs1–1LAÉrdi VSE3–4
Érdi VSE3–4WHSzekszárd2–1
Szekszárd2–1LAFerencváros II0–1
Ferencváros II0–1–HPaksi SE II24/10
Paksi SE II24/10–AMTK Budapest II31/10
MTK Budapest II31/10–HDunaharaszti MTK07/11
Dunaharaszti MTK07/11Top Scorers
Pécsi MFCM. Adamcsek6 ⚽
B. Babati6 ⚽
Z. Novak5 ⚽
N. Korodi5 ⚽
D. Okorie3 ⚽
B. Sores2 ⚽
SárbogárdB. Csoma-Laszlo2 ⚽
A. Husveth1 ⚽
L. Nemeth1 ⚽
M. Abu Muheisen1 ⚽
P. Kiss1 ⚽
P. M. Kiss1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pécsi MFCD. Varasdi1 🟨
Sárbogárd