Aveley vs Chatham Town — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Aveley and Chatham Town meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Aveley have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. Chatham Town have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Aveley and 1.75 for Chatham Town. The models give Aveley a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chatham Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
AveleyChatham TownHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aveley | Home | Away | Chatham Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 92% | 67% | 80% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 72% | 75% | 67% | 53% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 8% | 33% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Aveley | Home | Away | Chatham Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 100% | 83% | 73% | 89% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 72% | 100% | 17% | 53% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 42% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 11% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aveley | Chatham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 78% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 67% | 13% |
| BTTS | 78% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aveley | Chatham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 72% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 72% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Aveley (H)
Brentwood Town2–3
Wingate & Finchley3–4
Leatherhead1–2
Cheshunt4–2
Lewes0–2
Whitehawk3–2Chatham Town (A)
Slough Town1–0
Eastbourne Borough1–2
Egham Town4–0
Dartford0–1Whitehawk3–0
St Albans City1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
AveleyChatham Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 18 |
| 2 |  Welling United | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Dartford | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Carshalton Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 | Lewes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | St Albans City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Leatherhead | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Ramsgate | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 13 |
| 9 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 10 | Eastbourne Borough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Chatham Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 12 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Aveley | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Burgess Hill Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cray Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Cheshunt | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Whyteleafe | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 21 |  Stanway Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 22 | Brentwood Town | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Team Insights
Aveley- ●Aveley have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aveley have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●86% of Aveley's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Aveley's points have been earned away.
Chatham Town- ●Chatham Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chatham Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Chatham Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Chatham Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●Chatham Town have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AveleyWingate & Finchley3–4Leatherhead1–2Stanway Rovers2–0Lewes0–2Three Bridges5–1Whitehawk3–2Dulwich Hamlet29/09Cheshunt06/10Burgess Hill Town10/10Chatham TownEastbourne Borough1–2Lewes3–2Dartford0–1Wingate & Finchley2–3Whitehawk3–0Three Bridges3–1Enfield Town03/10Leatherhead06/10Brentwood Town10/10Top Scorers
AveleyChatham TownCards Given
AveleyChatham Town