Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Lewes and Maldon & Tiptree meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Lewes have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Maldon & Tiptree have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Lewes and 1.40 for Maldon & Tiptree. The models give Lewes a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Maldon & Tiptree win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lewes | Home | Away | Maldon & | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 86% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 57% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 14% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lewes | Home | Away | Maldon & | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 71% | 50% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 43% | 33% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 14% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 29% | 50% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lewes | Maldon & | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 63% |
| BTTS | 46% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lewes | Maldon & | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 13 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 10 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 5 | |
| 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 | |
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Lewes have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lewes have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lewes have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lewes have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lewes have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lewes have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●64% of Maldon & Tiptree's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.