Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Aveley and Maldon & Tiptree meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Aveley have recorded 9 wins from 22 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 2.23 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 5% of games. Maldon & Tiptree have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 2.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.35 for Aveley and 1.67 for Maldon & Tiptree. The models give Aveley a 56% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Maldon & Tiptree win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Aveley—
Maldon & Tiptree16º
Position
19º
1.00
PPG
0.75
27%
Win %
25%
1.64
Goals / game
1.25
1.73
Conceded / game
2.75
77%
BTTS %
64%
5%
Clean sheet %
7%
77%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aveley
Home (5)
—
Maldon & Tiptree
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
0.60
20%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
1.20
2.40
Conceded / game
3.60
92%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
92%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aveley | Home | Away | Maldon & | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 92% | 67% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 77% | 44% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 54% | 33% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 8% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Aveley | Home | Away | Maldon & | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 95% | 100% | 89% | 93% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 92% | 33% | 79% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 38% | 11% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 5% | 0% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aveley | Maldon & | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 68% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 55% | 57% |
| BTTS | 77% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aveley | Maldon & | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 79% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Aveley (H)W
Ware3–1
Ware3–1L
Brentwood Town2–3
Brentwood Town2–3L
Wingate & Finchley3–4
Wingate & Finchley3–4L
Leatherhead1–2
Leatherhead1–2W
Cheshunt4–2
Cheshunt4–2L
Lewes0–2
Lewes0–2Maldon & (A)L
Burgess Hill Town1–4
Burgess Hill Town1–4LBrentwood Town1–5
Brentwood Town1–5L
Ramsgate0–2
Ramsgate0–2L
Cambridge City1–6
Cambridge City1–6WLeatherhead4–1
Leatherhead4–1L
Dulwich Hamlet0–6
Dulwich Hamlet0–6Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Aveley
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Maldon &
50%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
11/08/26Aveley
Maldon & Tiptree
1–0Aveley15/03/22Aveley
Maldon & Tiptree
0–0Aveley22/10/21Maldon & Tiptree
Aveley
5–3Maldon & Tiptree21/08/21Aveley
Maldon & Tiptree
0–1Aveley04/01/20Aveley
Maldon & Tiptree
3–1Aveley31/08/19Maldon & Tiptree
Aveley
0–2Maldon & Tiptree| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Lewes | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 |  Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Carshalton Athletic | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chatham Town | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 | Dulwich Hamlet | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
| 16 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Whyteleafe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Aveley- ●Aveley have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aveley have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Aveley's points have been earned away.
Maldon &- ●Maldon & Tiptree have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
AveleyDABurgess Hill Town1–1
Burgess Hill Town1–1LACheshunt1–2
Cheshunt1–2LADulwich Hamlet0–2
Dulwich Hamlet0–2LHWingate & Finchley3–4
Wingate & Finchley3–4LHLeatherhead1–2
Leatherhead1–2WAStanway Rovers2–0
Stanway Rovers2–0–HChatham Town17/10
Chatham Town17/10–HMaldon & Tiptree19/10
Maldon & Tiptree19/10–HDartford31/10
Dartford31/10Maldon &LHWhyteleafe1–2
Whyteleafe1–2LHWelling United0–1
Welling United0–1LABurgess Hill Town1–4
Burgess Hill Town1–4LHCray Wanderers1–5
Cray Wanderers1–5LABrentwood Town1–5
Brentwood Town1–5LHCarshalton Athletic2–3
Carshalton Athletic2–3–ALewes17/10
Lewes17/10–AAveley19/10
Aveley19/10–HDulwich Hamlet24/10
Dulwich Hamlet24/10Top Scorers
AveleyT. Aromolaran6 ⚽
O. Peters5 ⚽
J. Gipson4 ⚽
M. Booth3 ⚽
M. Napa3 ⚽
C. Harris3 ⚽
Maldon &S. Adeyeye3 ⚽
I. Akanbi2 ⚽
E. Ebuzoeme2 ⚽
C. Fage-Burgin2 ⚽
T. Addy1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
AveleyC. Harris1 🟨
R. Henshaw1 🟨
Maldon &S. Simmons1 🟨