Welling United vs Leatherhead — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Welling United and Leatherhead meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Welling United have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Leatherhead have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Welling United and 1.17 for Leatherhead. The models give Welling United a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leatherhead win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Welling United—
Leatherhead3º
Position
12º
2.18
PPG
1.36
73%
Win %
36%
1.82
Goals / game
1.64
0.91
Conceded / game
1.82
50%
BTTS %
65%
39%
Clean sheet %
29%
56%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Welling United
Home (6)
—
Leatherhead
Away (6)
3.00
PPG
1.83
100%
Win %
50%
2.33
Goals / game
1.67
0.17
Conceded / game
1.67
44%
BTTS %
57%
56%
Clean sheet %
29%
56%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Welling United | Home | Away | Leatherhead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 78% | 88% | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 78% | 11% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 22% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Welling United | Home | Away | Leatherhead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 44% | 78% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 22% | 56% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 44% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 56% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Welling United | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Welling United | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Welling United (H)W
Whyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0D
Chertsey Town2–2
Chertsey Town2–2W
Cheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0W
Wingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1W
Faversham Town2–1
Faversham Town2–1W
Ramsgate1–0
Ramsgate1–0Leatherhead (A)L
Chatham Town0–3
Chatham Town0–3D
Three Bridges3–3
Three Bridges3–3W
Kingstonian1–0
Kingstonian1–0W
Aveley2–1
Aveley2–1W
Eastbourne Borough1–0
Eastbourne Borough1–0D
Burgess Hill Town2–2
Burgess Hill Town2–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Welling United
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Leatherhead
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
11/08/26Welling United
Leatherhead
4–1Welling United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Lewes | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Carshalton Athletic | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
| 16 | Whyteleafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
| 19 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Welling United- ●Welling United have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Welling United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Welling United have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●70% of Welling United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Welling United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Welling United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Welling United have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Leatherhead- ●Leatherhead have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leatherhead have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leatherhead have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leatherhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leatherhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leatherhead have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leatherhead have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Leatherhead's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Welling UnitedLAEastbourne Borough0–1
Eastbourne Borough0–1WAMaldon & Tiptree1–0
Maldon & Tiptree1–0WHWhyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0WHCheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0WHWingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1LACray Wanderers1–4
Cray Wanderers1–4–HBurgess Hill Town17/10
Burgess Hill Town17/10–HLeatherhead20/10
Leatherhead20/10–AChatham Town24/10
Chatham Town24/10LeatherheadLHCheshunt1–2
Cheshunt1–2LAChatham Town0–3
Chatham Town0–3DAThree Bridges3–3
Three Bridges3–3DHWhyteleafe0–0
Whyteleafe0–0WAAveley2–1
Aveley2–1LHDulwich Hamlet2–3
Dulwich Hamlet2–3–AWelling United20/10
Welling United20/10–HWingate & Finchley27/10
Wingate & Finchley27/10–HStanway Rovers31/10
Stanway Rovers31/10Top Scorers
Welling UnitedN. Melvin-Lambert6 ⚽
R. Kingsford3 ⚽
D. Anyadike2 ⚽
N. Cooper2 ⚽
A. Azeez2 ⚽
2 ⚽
LeatherheadA. Igozouln7 ⚽
T. Dryer3 ⚽
N. Hogan3 ⚽
K. Anokye-Boadi2 ⚽
M. Waters2 ⚽
J. Dickson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Welling UnitedL. Majoyegbe2 🟨
Leatherhead