Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Wingate & Finchley and Carshalton Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Wingate & Finchley have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Carshalton Athletic have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.53 for Carshalton Athletic. The models give Wingate & Finchley a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Carshalton Athletic win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Wingate & | Home | Away | Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 82% | 75% | 60% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 29% | 55% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 27% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 40% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Wingate & | Home | Away | Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 57% | 82% | 80% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 29% | 73% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 29% | 27% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 43% | 18% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wingate & | Carshalton Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 15% |
| BTTS | 61% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wingate & | Carshalton Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wingate & | Carshalton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 21 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +10 | 19 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 | |
| 8 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 18 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 | |
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 | |
| 14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 | |
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 9 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 | |
| 21 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 5 | |
| 22 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Wingate & Finchley have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Wingate & Finchley have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Wingate & Finchley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Wingate & Finchley have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Wingate & Finchley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Wingate & Finchley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Wingate & Finchley have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Wingate & Finchley's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Wingate & Finchley's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Wingate & Finchley have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Carshalton Athletic's goals have been scored away.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.