Stanway Rovers vs Burgess Hill Town — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Stanway Rovers and Burgess Hill Town meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Stanway Rovers have recorded 2 wins from 16 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.81 goals scored and 2.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Burgess Hill Town have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Stanway Rovers and 1.57 for Burgess Hill Town. The models give Stanway Rovers a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Burgess Hill Town win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Stanway Rovers | Home | Away | Burgess Hill | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 63% | 50% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 38% | 50% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Stanway Rovers | Home | Away | Burgess Hill | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 75% | 88% | 85% | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 81% | 75% | 88% | 45% | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 63% | 15% | 0% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 25% | 13% | 15% | 30% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stanway Rovers | Burgess Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stanway Rovers | Burgess Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 6% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 69% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 81% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 31 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | +12 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +9 | 24 | |
| 6 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 24 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 22 | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 22 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 21 | |
| 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 20 | |
| 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | +1 | 15 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 | |
| 16 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -18 | 14 | |
| 19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 | |
| 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 7 | |
| 22 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Stanway Rovers have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stanway Rovers have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Burgess Hill Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Burgess Hill Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Burgess Hill Town's points have been earned at home.