Carshalton Athletic vs Burgess Hill Town — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Carshalton Athletic and Burgess Hill Town meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Carshalton Athletic have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Burgess Hill Town have won 38% of their 21 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Carshalton Athletic and 1.48 for Burgess Hill Town. The models give Carshalton Athletic a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Burgess Hill Town win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Carshalton Athletic—
Burgess Hill Town9º
Position
13º
1.38
PPG
1.40
44%
Win %
33%
1.44
Goals / game
1.67
2.00
Conceded / game
1.80
58%
BTTS %
71%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
71%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Carshalton Athletic
Home (7)
—
Burgess Hill Town
Away (7)
1.29
PPG
0.86
43%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
1.29
1.57
Conceded / game
2.00
30%
BTTS %
80%
30%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | Burgess Hill | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 60% | 86% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 57% | 55% | 73% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 10% | 14% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 40% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | Burgess Hill | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 70% | 93% | 86% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 40% | 71% | 45% | 36% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 30% | 7% | 14% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carshalton Athletic | Burgess Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS | 58% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carshalton Athletic | Burgess Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Carshalton Athletic (H)L
Enfield Town1–2
Enfield Town1–2L
St Albans City0–1
St Albans City0–1L
Eastbourne Borough0–4
Eastbourne Borough0–4L
Dartford0–3
Dartford0–3L
Chertsey Town1–2
Chertsey Town1–2W
Brentwood Town2–0
Brentwood Town2–0Burgess Hill (A)D
Wingate & Finchley1–1
Wingate & Finchley1–1LSt Albans City1–3
St Albans City1–3D
Erith Town3–3
Erith Town3–3W
Whyteleafe3–2
Whyteleafe3–2L
Welling United2–4
Welling United2–4L
Hanwell Town1–2
Hanwell Town1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Carshalton Athletic
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Burgess Hill
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
13/10/25Burgess Hill Town
Carshalton Athletic
1–2Burgess Hill Town23/09/25Carshalton Athletic
Burgess Hill Town
2–4Carshalton Athletic07/08/21Burgess Hill Town
Carshalton Athletic
1–0Burgess Hill Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 | Welling United | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | +16 | 33 |
| 3 | Eastbourne Borough | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Lewes | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 27 |
| 5 | Dartford | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | St Albans City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Ramsgate | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +10 | 22 |
| 8 | Wingate & Finchley | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 | Carshalton Athletic | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 22 |
| 10 |  Leatherhead | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chatham Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | +4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 | Burgess Hill Town | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aveley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 20 |
| 15 | Whyteleafe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 18 |
| 16 |  Cheshunt | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -16 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cray Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 15 |
| 19 | Brentwood Town | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -3 | 15 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 9 |
| 21 |  Stanway Rovers | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 22 |  Whitehawk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -23 | 6 |
Team Insights
Carshalton Athletic- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have won 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●70% of Carshalton Athletic's goals have been scored away.
- ●66% of Carshalton Athletic's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Burgess Hill- ●Burgess Hill Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Burgess Hill Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Carshalton AthleticLAWelling United0–4
Welling United0–4LAWingate & Finchley2–4
Wingate & Finchley2–4DADulwich Hamlet2–2
Dulwich Hamlet2–2LHEnfield Town1–2
Enfield Town1–2LHSt Albans City0–1
St Albans City0–1LHEastbourne Borough0–4
Eastbourne Borough0–4–HCheshunt07/11
Cheshunt07/11–HAveley21/11
Aveley21/11–AChatham Town28/11
Chatham Town28/11Burgess HillDAWingate & Finchley1–1
Wingate & Finchley1–1LHEnfield Town0–6
Enfield Town0–6LASt Albans City1–3
St Albans City1–3WAWhyteleafe3–2
Whyteleafe3–2LAWelling United2–4
Welling United2–4WHDulwich Hamlet2–0
Dulwich Hamlet2–0–AChatham Town07/11
Chatham Town07/11–HCray Wanderers14/11
Cray Wanderers14/11–HBrentwood Town17/11
Brentwood Town17/11Top Scorers
Carshalton AthleticN. Young-Coombes9 ⚽
T. Fadahunsi3 ⚽
J. Jebb2 ⚽
W. Bratvedt2 ⚽
F. Saraiva2 ⚽
P. Kandolo2 ⚽
Burgess HillC. Whelpdale8 ⚽
B. Pope3 ⚽
G. Vorster3 ⚽
K. Rowe3 ⚽
C. Lambert2 ⚽
J. Daly1 ⚽
Cards Given
Carshalton AthleticR. Masampu2 🟨
Burgess Hill