Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Anstey Nomads and Real Bedford meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Anstey Nomads have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.84 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Real Bedford have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 3.05 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Anstey Nomads and 1.67 for Real Bedford. The models give Anstey Nomads a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real Bedford win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Anstey Nomads—
Real Bedford9º
Position
1º
1.67
PPG
2.29
42%
Win %
71%
1.83
Goals / game
2.64
1.50
Conceded / game
1.21
74%
BTTS %
77%
16%
Clean sheet %
14%
68%
Over 2.5 %
82%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Anstey Nomads
Home (5)
—
Real Bedford
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
2.50
60%
Win %
83%
2.20
Goals / game
2.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.83
50%
BTTS %
63%
25%
Clean sheet %
38%
63%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Anstey Nomads | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 91% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 63% | 55% | 82% | 79% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 25% | 36% | 55% | 57% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Anstey Nomads | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 75% | 91% | 86% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 38% | 45% | 50% | 64% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 13% | 9% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 25% | 9% | 14% | 0% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Anstey Nomads | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 50% |
| BTTS | 74% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Anstey Nomads | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 53% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 79% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 77% |
Recent Venue Form
Anstey Nomads (H)L
Bromsgrove Sporting0–1
Bromsgrove Sporting0–1L
Macclesfield0–3
Macclesfield0–3W
Rushall Olympic3–2
Rushall Olympic3–2D
Alvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2W
Newcastle Town2–1
Newcastle Town2–1W
Banbury United3–0
Banbury United3–0Real Bedford (A)L
Bishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0L
Chesham United3–4
Chesham United3–4W
Stourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1W
Harleston Town2–1
Harleston Town2–1W
Halesowen Town2–0
Halesowen Town2–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Anstey Nomads | Real Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 28 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | +8 | 27 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  Needham Market | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 | Alvechurch | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 8 |  Peterborough Sports | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 14 |  Leiston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | Bishop's Stortford | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |  Stratford Town | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Banbury United | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 19 |  Worcester City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 |  Leamington | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | -31 | 4 |
Team Insights
Anstey Nomads- ●Anstey Nomads have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●72% of Anstey Nomads's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Anstey Nomads have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Real Bedford- ●Real Bedford have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Real Bedford's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Anstey NomadsDAAlvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2WHRushall Olympic3–2
Rushall Olympic3–2DANeedham Market1–1
Needham Market1–1LAKettering Town1–4
Kettering Town1–4DHAlvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2WARacing Club Warwick3–2
Racing Club Warwick3–2–HBishop's Stortford31/10
Bishop's Stortford31/10–HReal Bedford03/11
Real Bedford03/11–AHalesowen Town07/11
Halesowen Town07/11Real BedfordLHStourbridge0–1
Stourbridge0–1LABishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3DHBury Town2–2
Bury Town2–2WAStamford4–0
Stamford4–0DHBromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1WHLeiston3–2
Leiston3–2–AWorcester City31/10
Worcester City31/10–AAnstey Nomads03/11
Anstey Nomads03/11–HRushall Olympic07/11
Rushall Olympic07/11Top Scorers
Anstey NomadsT. Liversidge5 ⚽
L. Rose4 ⚽
C. Grantham3 ⚽
D. Wauchope2 ⚽
O. Tonge2 ⚽
K. Bastos2 ⚽
Real BedfordJ. Allen13 ⚽
C. Tee8 ⚽
J. Ponticelli8 ⚽
B. Stevens7 ⚽
S. Cartwright3 ⚽
A. Jones2 ⚽
Cards Given
Anstey NomadsR. Gill2 🟨
Courey Grantham1 🟨
1 🟨
Real BedfordJ. Ponticelli2 🟨
C. King1 🟨
D. Richardson1 🟨