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Bury Town vs Needham Market — Non League Premier - Southern Central

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England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 12
Bury Town
Bury Town
2º · 2.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 4h
vs
–
–
Needham Market
Needham Market
9º · 1.40 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 4h
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Bury Town and Needham Market meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Bury Town have recorded 12 wins from 17 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.12 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Needham Market have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Bury Town and 1.28 for Needham Market. The models give Bury Town a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Needham Market win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Bury Town
—
Needham Market
2º
Position
9º
2.70
PPG
1.40
90%
Win %
40%
1.90
Goals / game
1.90
0.80
Conceded / game
1.70
59%
BTTS %
56%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
65%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
13.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
54.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bury Town
Home (4)
—
Needham Market
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
50%
2.25
Goals / game
2.00
0.75
Conceded / game
2.25
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
13.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
54.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Bury TownHomeAwayNeedham MarketHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored88%100%82%75%88%63%
Over 1.5 Scored53%50%55%56%63%50%
Over 2.5 Scored47%50%45%44%50%38%
Failed To Score12%0%18%25%13%38%

Goals Conceded

Bury TownHomeAwayNeedham MarketHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%50%82%75%75%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded41%33%45%38%38%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%33%27%31%38%25%
Clean Sheets29%50%18%25%25%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Bury TownNeedham Market
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.571%88%
Over 2.565%63%
Over 3.553%44%
Over 4.541%19%
BTTS59%56%
BTTS & Win41%19%
BTTS & Draw12%25%
BTTS & Over 2.553%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Bury TownNeedham Market
Win 1st Half41%44%
Draw 1st Half35%19%
Loss 1st Half24%38%
Scored 1st Half65%63%
Conceded 1st Half53%50%
Win 2nd Half47%31%
Draw 2nd Half24%44%
Loss 2nd Half29%25%
Scored 2nd Half65%50%
Conceded 2nd Half53%44%
Over 0.5 HT76%88%
Over 1.5 HT59%44%

Recent Venue Form

Bury Town (H)
DSpalding United1–1
WHitchin Town1–0
WLeiston4–3
WLeamington3–0
WHalesowen Town1–0
DAFC Sudbury3–3
Needham Market (A)
LRushall Olympic3–5
WCanvey Island3–0
LBraintree0–3
DStanway Rovers0–0
WStratford Town2–1
LAlvechurch0–2

Team Corners

Team CornersBury TownNeedham Market
Corners Earned / Match4.00.0
Corners Against / Match4.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Bury Town
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Needham Market
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
21/02/26
Bury Town
1–1
Needham Market
22/10/25
Needham Market
4–2
Bury Town
26/07/22
Needham Market
4–0
Bury Town
27/07/21
Bury Town
3–1
Needham Market
Non League Premier - Southern Central
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford10910+1928
2Bury Town10901+1127
3Bromsgrove Sporting10721+923
4Rushall Olympic11704+521
5Alvechurch10622+1220
6Kettering Town10541+1019
7Peterborough Sports11542+519
8Anstey Nomads10442+316
9Needham Market10424+214
10Redditch United10343+113
11Halesowen Town8413013
12Stourbridge10343-213
13Leiston10334012
14Racing Club Warwick11254-311
15Bishop's Stortford10316-510
16Leamington10235-39
17Banbury United10235-69
18Stratford Town10235-89
19Worcester City10145-67
20Hitchin Town11146-107
21Leighton Town10127-95
22Stamford100010-250

Team Insights

Bury Town
  • ●Bury Town have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Bury Town have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Bury Town have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Needham Market
  • ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Needham Market have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Bury TownBury Town
WAAlvechurch5º1–0
LASpalding United0–4
DHSpalding United1–1
WABishop's Stortford15º2–1
LASt Albans City1–4
WHHitchin Town20º1–0
WAGorleston4–3
LABromsgrove Sporting3º0–1
WALondon Lions4–2
WHLeiston13º4–3
Needham MarketNeedham Market
DHAnstey Nomads8º1–1
LARushall Olympic4º3–5
WHStamford22º4–0
WACanvey Island3–0
LABraintree0–3
DHBraintree3–3
WHWorcester City19º2–0
WHStanway Rovers3–1
DAStanway Rovers0–0
DHPeterborough Sports7º3–3

Season Schedule

Bury Town
WAAlvechurch1–0
WABishop's Stortford2–1
WHHitchin Town1–0
LABromsgrove Sporting0–1
WHLeiston4–3
WALeighton Town3–2
–HNeedham Market13/10
–HStourbridge17/10
–AReal Bedford20/10
Needham Market
DHAnstey Nomads1–1
LARushall Olympic3–5
WHStamford4–0
WHWorcester City2–0
DHPeterborough Sports3–3
WAStratford Town2–1
–ABury Town13/10
–ALeamington17/10
–HBishop's Stortford20/10

Top Scorers

Bury Town
J. McGrath5 ⚽
O. Canfer4 ⚽
T. Smith3 ⚽
T. Hughes2 ⚽
J. Carroll1 ⚽
G. Quantrell1 ⚽
Needham Market
R. Miles5 ⚽
K. Hammond3 ⚽
L. Pearce3 ⚽
T. Allen2 ⚽
D. Morphew2 ⚽
1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bury Town
C. Beckwith1 🟨
Needham Market
D. Morphew1 🟨