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Bury Town vs Stourbridge — Non League Premier - Southern Central

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England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 13
Bury Town
Bury Town
2º · 2.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 19h
vs
–
–
Stourbridge
Stourbridge
10º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 19h
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Bury Town and Stourbridge meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Bury Town have recorded 12 wins from 18 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Stourbridge have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 13%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Bury Town and 1.44 for Stourbridge. The models give Bury Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Stourbridge win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Bury Town
—
Stourbridge
2º
Position
10º
2.45
PPG
1.45
82%
Win %
36%
1.73
Goals / game
1.27
1.18
Conceded / game
1.27
56%
BTTS %
67%
28%
Clean sheet %
13%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
13.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
54.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bury Town
Home (5)
—
Stourbridge
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
1.80
80%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.40
1.60
Conceded / game
0.80
43%
BTTS %
86%
43%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
13.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
54.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Bury TownHomeAwayStourbridgeHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%86%82%73%63%86%
Over 1.5 Scored50%43%55%47%38%57%
Over 2.5 Scored44%43%45%20%0%43%
Failed To Score17%14%18%27%38%14%

Goals Conceded

Bury TownHomeAwayStourbridgeHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded72%57%82%87%88%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded44%43%45%40%63%14%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%43%27%27%38%14%
Clean Sheets28%43%18%13%13%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Bury TownStourbridge
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.572%87%
Over 2.567%60%
Over 3.556%47%
Over 4.544%20%
BTTS56%67%
BTTS & Win39%27%
BTTS & Draw11%27%
BTTS & Over 2.550%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.517%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Bury TownStourbridge
Win 1st Half39%40%
Draw 1st Half33%27%
Loss 1st Half28%33%
Scored 1st Half61%60%
Conceded 1st Half56%53%
Win 2nd Half44%13%
Draw 2nd Half22%47%
Loss 2nd Half33%40%
Scored 2nd Half61%47%
Conceded 2nd Half56%73%
Over 0.5 HT78%87%
Over 1.5 HT61%53%

Recent Venue Form

Bury Town (H)
LNeedham Market0–5
DSpalding United1–1
WHitchin Town1–0
WLeiston4–3
WLeamington3–0
WHalesowen Town1–0
Stourbridge (A)
WWorcester City3–1
DAlvechurch0–0
WRushall Olympic3–1
DHitchin Town1–1
DBanbury United1–1
WPeterborough Sports2–1

Team Corners

Team CornersBury TownStourbridge
Corners Earned / Match4.00.0
Corners Against / Match4.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Bury Town
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Stourbridge
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
20/12/25
Bury Town
1–1
Stourbridge
09/08/25
Stourbridge
2–0
Bury Town
Non League Premier - Southern Central
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford10910+1928
2Bury Town11902+627
3Bromsgrove Sporting11821+1026
4Peterborough Sports12642+722
5Alvechurch11632+1221
6Rushall Olympic12705+421
7Kettering Town11542+919
8Anstey Nomads11542+419
9Needham Market11524+717
10Stourbridge11443016
11Redditch United11353+114
12Halesowen Town9423014
13Leiston10334012
14Racing Club Warwick11254-311
15Leamington11245-310
16Bishop's Stortford10316-510
17Stratford Town11245-810
18Banbury United11236-89
19Worcester City11146-87
20Hitchin Town11146-107
21Leighton Town10127-95
22Stamford110110-251

Team Insights

Bury Town
  • ●Bury Town have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Bury Town have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Stourbridge
  • ●Stourbridge have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Stourbridge have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●71% of Stourbridge's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Stourbridge have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Bury TownBury Town
LHNeedham Market9º0–5
WAAlvechurch5º1–0
LASpalding United0–4
DHSpalding United1–1
WABishop's Stortford16º2–1
LASt Albans City1–4
WHHitchin Town20º1–0
WAGorleston4–3
LABromsgrove Sporting3º0–1
WALondon Lions4–2
StourbridgeStourbridge
WAWorcester City19º3–1
WHLeighton Town21º2–1
LHRacing Club Warwick14º0–1
DAAlvechurch5º0–0
WARushall Olympic3–1
LHReal Bedford1º1–4
DAHitchin Town20º1–1
LHRushall Olympic1–3
LHLeamington15º0–2
DABanbury United18º1–1

Season Schedule

Bury Town
LHNeedham Market0–5
WAAlvechurch1–0
WABishop's Stortford2–1
WHHitchin Town1–0
LABromsgrove Sporting0–1
WHLeiston4–3
–HStourbridge17/10
–AReal Bedford20/10
–AHitchin Town24/10
Stourbridge
WAWorcester City3–1
WHLeighton Town2–1
LHRacing Club Warwick0–1
DAAlvechurch0–0
LHReal Bedford1–4
DAHitchin Town1–1
–ABury Town17/10
–HAnstey Nomads20/10
–AReal Bedford27/10

Top Scorers

Bury Town
J. McGrath5 ⚽
O. Canfer4 ⚽
T. Smith3 ⚽
T. Hughes2 ⚽
J. Carroll1 ⚽
G. Quantrell1 ⚽
Stourbridge
C. Pavey4 ⚽
C. Wragg3 ⚽
J. Verma2 ⚽
D. Jarvis2 ⚽
K. Pearce1 ⚽
P. Harvey1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bury Town
C. Beckwith1 🟨
Stourbridge
J. Fletcher1 🟨