Leamington vs Needham Market — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Leamington and Needham Market meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Leamington have recorded 5 wins from 20 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Needham Market have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Leamington and 1.57 for Needham Market. The models give Leamington a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Needham Market win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Leamington—
Needham Market15º
Position
9º
0.91
PPG
1.55
18%
Win %
45%
1.36
Goals / game
2.18
1.64
Conceded / game
1.55
70%
BTTS %
53%
15%
Clean sheet %
29%
65%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leamington
Home (5)
—
Needham Market
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
1.80
20%
Win %
60%
1.60
Goals / game
2.60
1.00
Conceded / game
1.80
73%
BTTS %
44%
18%
Clean sheet %
33%
55%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leamington | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 78% | 76% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 55% | 44% | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 27% | 11% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Leamington | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 82% | 89% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 27% | 67% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 9% | 56% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 18% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leamington | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS | 70% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leamington | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Leamington (H)D
Redditch United2–2
Redditch United2–2W
Hitchin Town4–0
Hitchin Town4–0D
Gainsborough Trinity1–1
Gainsborough Trinity1–1W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1D
Worcester City1–1
Worcester City1–1L
Kettering Town0–1
Kettering Town0–1Needham Market (A)W
Bury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0L
Rushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5W
Canvey Island3–0
Canvey Island3–0L
Braintree0–3
Braintree0–3D
Stanway Rovers0–0
Stanway Rovers0–0W
Stratford Town2–1
Stratford Town2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Leamington
0%
1
Draws
25%
3
Needham Market
75%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
25/02/25Leamington
Needham Market
1–1Leamington26/11/24Needham Market
Leamington
0–1Needham Market24/02/24Needham Market
Leamington
0–1Needham Market05/12/23Leamington
Needham Market
2–1Leamington| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 27 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Peterborough Sports | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Kettering Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  Stourbridge | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Halesowen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leamington | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Stratford Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 |  Banbury United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -25 | 1 |
Team Insights
Leamington- ●Leamington have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Leamington have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leamington have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leamington failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leamington failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leamington have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leamington have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of Leamington's goals conceded were conceded away.
Needham Market- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LeamingtonDHRedditch United2–2
Redditch United2–2LAStratford Town1–2
Stratford Town1–2WHHitchin Town4–0
Hitchin Town4–0DABromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1LABishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3WAStourbridge2–0
Stourbridge2–0–HNeedham Market17/10
Needham Market17/10–ARushall Olympic20/10
Rushall Olympic20/10–AHalesowen Town27/10
Halesowen Town27/10Needham MarketWABury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0DHAnstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1LARushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0WHWorcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0DHPeterborough Sports3–3
Peterborough Sports3–3–ALeamington17/10
Leamington17/10–HBishop's Stortford20/10
Bishop's Stortford20/10–HLeighton Town27/10
Leighton Town27/10Top Scorers
LeamingtonK. Finn8 ⚽
O. Farmer3 ⚽
K. Tonge3 ⚽
L. Rea2 ⚽
C. Wreh2 ⚽
R. Palit1 ⚽
Needham MarketR. Miles6 ⚽
L. Pearce6 ⚽
K. Hammond3 ⚽
L. Ingram2 ⚽
T. Allen2 ⚽
D. Morphew2 ⚽
Cards Given
LeamingtonN. Kelly1 🟨
Needham MarketD. Morphew1 🟨