Stamford vs Real Bedford — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Stamford and Real Bedford meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Stamford have recorded 0 wins from 10 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Real Bedford have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 3.53 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 87%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Stamford and 1.93 for Real Bedford. The models give Stamford a 15% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Real Bedford win at 63%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Stamford—
Real Bedford22º
Position
1º
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.13
Goals / game
3.25
2.63
Conceded / game
1.00
20%
BTTS %
80%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
60%
Over 2.5 %
87%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stamford
Home (4)
—
Real Bedford
Away (4)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.25
Goals / game
2.75
2.25
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
40%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stamford | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 93% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 93% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 70% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 80% | 67% | 100% | 7% | 10% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Stamford | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 87% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 75% | 47% | 70% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 27% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stamford | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 60% |
| BTTS | 20% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 60% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 80% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 40% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stamford | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 10% | 87% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 80% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 10% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 90% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 87% |
Recent Venue Form
Stamford (H)L
Loughborough University1–2
Loughborough University1–2L
Bishop's Stortford0–3
Bishop's Stortford0–3L
Mickleover Sports0–1
Mickleover Sports0–1L
Rushall Olympic0–3
Rushall Olympic0–3L
Racing Club Warwick1–2
Racing Club Warwick1–2L
Bury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1Real Bedford (A)W
Stourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1W
Harleston Town2–1
Harleston Town2–1W
Halesowen Town2–0
Halesowen Town2–0W
Banbury United3–1
Banbury United3–1W
Peterborough Sports2–0
Peterborough Sports2–0L
Spalding United2–4
Spalding United2–4Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Stamford
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
Real Bedford
100%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
21/03/26Stamford
Real Bedford
3–0Stamford08/11/25Real Bedford
Stamford
1–3Real Bedford04/10/25Stamford
Real Bedford
3–1Stamford| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Worcester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 |  Hitchin Town | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 |  Stratford Town | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 0 |
Team Insights
Stamford- ●Stamford have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Stamford have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Stamford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Stamford have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Stamford have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Stamford have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Stamford have lost their last 4 away matches.
Real Bedford- ●Real Bedford have won their last 8 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Real Bedford's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
StamfordLHBishop's Stortford0–3
Bishop's Stortford0–3LAAlvechurch0–4
Alvechurch0–4LAKettering Town0–5
Kettering Town0–5LHRushall Olympic0–3
Rushall Olympic0–3LAWorcester City0–1
Worcester City0–1LHRacing Club Warwick1–2
Racing Club Warwick1–2–ANeedham Market29/09
Needham Market29/09–ABanbury United10/10
Banbury United10/10–HStratford Town13/10
Stratford Town13/10Real BedfordWAStourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1WHRedditch United2–1
Redditch United2–1WHLeighton Town3–2
Leighton Town3–2WAHalesowen Town2–0
Halesowen Town2–0WHStratford Town6–1
Stratford Town6–1WABanbury United3–1
Banbury United3–1–HLeiston29/09
Leiston29/09–HBromsgrove Sporting10/10
Bromsgrove Sporting10/10–ABishop's Stortford13/10
Bishop's Stortford13/10Top Scorers
StamfordT. Charles1 ⚽
Real BedfordJ. Allen11 ⚽
C. Tee7 ⚽
J. Ponticelli6 ⚽
B. Stevens5 ⚽
T. Hitchcock2 ⚽
J. Morrell1 ⚽
Cards Given
StamfordReal BedfordD. Richardson1 🟨