Worcester City vs Kettering Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Worcester City and Kettering Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Worcester City have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Kettering Town have won 62% of their 13 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 0.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 62%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Worcester City and 1.12 for Kettering Town. The models give Worcester City a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Kettering Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Worcester CityKettering TownHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Kettering Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 71% | 92% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 7% | 13% | 0% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 29% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Kettering Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 38% | 100% | 38% | 14% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 13% | 43% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 63% | 0% | 62% | 86% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worcester City | Kettering Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 40% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worcester City | Kettering Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 7% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Worcester City (H)
Leek Town0–2
Banbury United0–0
Stratford Town2–1
Knowle W1–0
Bromsgrove Sporting0–1
Stamford1–0Kettering Town (A)
Matlock Town4–0
Rushall Olympic2–3
Wellingborough Town2–2
Hitchin Town1–1
Leamington1–0
Leighton Town1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Worcester CityKettering Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Halesowen Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 0 |
Team Insights
Worcester City- ●Worcester City have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●90% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Kettering Town- ●Kettering Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Worcester CityBanbury United0–0Needham Market0–2Bromsgrove Sporting0–1Leamington1–1Stamford1–0Leighton Town1–2Racing Club Warwick29/09Rushall Olympic10/10Stourbridge13/10Kettering TownRushall Olympic2–3Stratford Town1–0Stamford5–0Hitchin Town1–1Peterborough Sports0–0Leamington1–0Anstey Nomads29/09Halesowen Town10/10Bromsgrove Sporting13/10Top Scorers
Worcester CityKettering TownCards Given
Worcester CityKettering Town