Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Alvechurch and Bromsgrove Sporting meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Alvechurch have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Bromsgrove Sporting have won 75% of their 20 matches, with 2.15 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Alvechurch and 1.19 for Bromsgrove Sporting. The models give Alvechurch a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bromsgrove Sporting win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Alvechurch—
Bromsgrove Sporting5º
Position
3º
1.91
PPG
2.36
55%
Win %
73%
1.64
Goals / game
1.82
0.55
Conceded / game
0.91
50%
BTTS %
55%
40%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alvechurch
Home (6)
—
Bromsgrove Sporting
Away (5)
2.17
PPG
2.60
67%
Win %
80%
1.83
Goals / game
2.00
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
40%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Bromsgrove Sporting | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 95% | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 64% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 20% | 30% | 27% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Bromsgrove Sporting | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 70% | 60% | 55% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 9% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 30% | 40% | 45% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvechurch | Bromsgrove Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 15% |
| BTTS | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvechurch | Bromsgrove Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 65% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Alvechurch (H)L
Bury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1D
Stourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0L
Bourne Town1–2
Bourne Town1–2W
Racing Club Warwick3–1
Racing Club Warwick3–1W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0W
Wolverhampton City2–0
Wolverhampton City2–0Bromsgrove Sporting (A)D
Real Bedford1–1
Real Bedford1–1L
Bury1–2
Bury1–2WRacing Club Warwick1–0
Racing Club Warwick1–0W
Stratford Town3–2
Stratford Town3–2W
Worcester City1–0
Worcester City1–0W
Redditch United2–1
Redditch United2–1Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Alvechurch
50%
2
Draws
25%
2
Bromsgrove Sporting
25%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
17/02/26Alvechurch
Bromsgrove Sporting
1–4Alvechurch12/08/25Bromsgrove Sporting
Alvechurch
1–2Bromsgrove Sporting11/03/25Bromsgrove Sporting
Alvechurch
2–1Bromsgrove Sporting30/11/24Alvechurch
Bromsgrove Sporting
0–2Alvechurch06/04/24Bromsgrove Sporting
Alvechurch
1–0Bromsgrove Sporting21/11/23Alvechurch
Bromsgrove Sporting
1–1Alvechurch14/02/23Bromsgrove Sporting
Alvechurch
0–0Bromsgrove Sporting16/08/22Alvechurch
Bromsgrove Sporting
3–1Alvechurch| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Peterborough Sports | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Rushall Olympic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | Stourbridge | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Halesowen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Leamington | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Stratford Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 |  Banbury United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -25 | 1 |
Team Insights
Alvechurch- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
Bromsgrove Sporting- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AlvechurchDAHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1LHBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1DHStourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0DAAnstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0WARushall Olympic1–0
Rushall Olympic1–0–HBromsgrove Sporting20/10
Bromsgrove Sporting20/10–AStratford Town24/10
Stratford Town24/10–HAnstey Nomads27/10
Anstey Nomads27/10Bromsgrove SportingWHKettering Town2–1
Kettering Town2–1DAReal Bedford1–1
Real Bedford1–1DHLeamington1–1
Leamington1–1WAStratford Town3–2
Stratford Town3–2WHBury Town1–0
Bury Town1–0WAWorcester City1–0
Worcester City1–0–HBanbury United17/10
Banbury United17/10–AAlvechurch20/10
Alvechurch20/10–HStratford Town27/10
Stratford Town27/10Top Scorers
AlvechurchM. Okafor7 ⚽
E. Ilesanmi5 ⚽
K. Wakefield3 ⚽
J. Osborne2 ⚽
J. Bavanganga1 ⚽
C. Sullivan1 ⚽
Bromsgrove SportingL. Barrow5 ⚽
O. Harrison5 ⚽
B. Shaw4 ⚽
J. Matt4 ⚽
J. Jervis2 ⚽
Trialist B2 ⚽
Cards Given
AlvechurchK. Wakefield1 🟨
Bromsgrove SportingJ. Charles1 🟨