Kettering Town vs Leiston — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Kettering Town and Leiston meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Kettering Town have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 0.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 62% of games. Leiston have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Kettering Town and 1.11 for Leiston. The models give Kettering Town a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leiston win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Kettering TownLeistonHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kettering Town | Home | Away | Leiston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 86% | 100% | 79% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 43% | 50% | 64% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 14% | 17% | 43% | 50% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 14% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Kettering Town | Home | Away | Leiston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 14% | 67% | 86% | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 62% | 86% | 33% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kettering Town | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS | 38% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kettering Town | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Kettering Town (H)
Quorn2–0
Stratford Town1–0
Wellingborough Town2–1
Stamford5–0
Peterborough Sports0–0
Alvechurch1–0Leiston (A)
Hitchin Town2–1
Banbury United2–1
Grays Athletic0–0
Bury Town3–4
Stourbridge2–2
Anstey Nomads1–1Head to Head · 6 matches
Kettering TownLeistonKettering TownLeistonLeistonKettering Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Halesowen Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Worcester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 0 |
Team Insights
Kettering Town- ●Kettering Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Leiston- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Leiston have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leiston have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Kettering TownRushall Olympic2–3Stratford Town1–0Stamford5–0Hitchin Town1–1Peterborough Sports0–0Leamington1–0Anstey Nomads29/09Halesowen Town10/10Bromsgrove Sporting13/10LeistonPeterborough Sports0–2Banbury United2–1Bury Town3–4Redditch United3–1Stourbridge2–2Rushall Olympic1–2Real Bedford29/09Racing Club Warwick10/10Stratford Town17/10Top Scorers
Kettering TownLeistonCards Given
Kettering TownLeiston